COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
28.01.2026 01:30
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Referee: Andres Rojas
Independiente Medellin
Match Timeline
Deportes Tolima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
J. Ortiz · Assist: L. Chaverra
Independiente Medellin
⚽
26'
A. Parra Osorio
Deportes Tolima
⚽
31'
A. Parra Osorio · Assist: Y. D. Hurtado Torres
Deportes Tolima
🟥
35'
Y. D. Hurtado Torres
Deportes Tolima
🔄
39'
J. P. Torres Patino ↔ C. Arrieta
Deportes Tolima
🔄
46'
L. Chaverra ↔ G. Mancilla
Independiente Medellin
🔄
46'
J. Nieto ↔ E. Ricardo
Deportes Tolima
🔄
46'
K. Florez ↔ J. Gonzalez
Deportes Tolima
🟥
58'
E. Ricardo
Deportes Tolima
🔄
60'
H. Loboa ↔ E. Larrosa
Independiente Medellin
🔄
61'
A. Parra Osorio ↔ S. Guzman
Deportes Tolima
🟨
62'
K. Mantilla
Independiente Medellin
🟨
67'
D. Moreno
Independiente Medellin
🔄
68'
L. Berrio ↔ D. Catano
Independiente Medellin
⚽
69'
E. Larrosa · Assist: F. Chaverra
Independiente Medellin
🔄
78'
↔ A. Serna
Independiente Medellin
🔄
78'
K. Mantilla ↔ A. Davila
Independiente Medellin
🔄
87'
E. Lopez ↔ M. Martinez
Deportes Tolima

Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Independiente Medellin Win 0%
Draw 0%
Deportes Tolima Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente Medellin0.75
Deportes Tolima1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
WWDLW
5 GF / 7 GA
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
WLDWL
4 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
0
3
BTTS Yes
0
3
Over 2.5
0
3.5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4 matches
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2 matches
Independiente Medellin Statistic Deportes Tolima
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
3 Losses 0
5 Goals For 4
7 Goals Against 0
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0
3 BTTS Yes 0
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 0
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 5
11 Total Shots 11.5
4 Corners 3.5
48% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 5 times, Deportes Tolima won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Independiente Medellin 3-4-1-2 / Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Independiente Medellin wins 5, draws 6, Deportes Tolima wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D L W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D L W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D L L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W L W W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D W W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W D L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L W L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification