Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Independiente Medellin Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente Medellin1.33
Atletico Nacional1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Medellin
WWDLW
75 GF / 46 GA
Atletico Nacional
WLDWL
81 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.76
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.02
24
BTTS Yes
27
20
Over 2.5
27
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente Medellin
49 matches
Atletico Nacional
46 matches
| Independiente Medellin | Statistic | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 23 |
| 15 | Draws | 14 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 75 | Goals For | 81 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 3 times, Atletico Nacional won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Independiente Medellin wins 3, draws 7, Atletico Nacional wins 5
Standings
Primera A, Clausura 2025
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 46:28 | 18 | 40 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 38 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Nacional
Away
|
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 38:24 | 14 | 37 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
| 4 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 35 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 31 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 29 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 27 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 21 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 14:29 | -15 | 16 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
Group matches