01.11.2026 23:10

2 - 1

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Referee: Carlos Ortega, Colombia

Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Independiente Medellin

Match Timeline

Alianza Valledupar

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 55.8%

Odds 1.53

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71.2%

Odds 1.83

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds 1.82

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	55.8%	1.53	▥
BTTS	Yes	71.2%	1.83	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	1.82	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.21	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	2.30	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	8.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Independiente Medellin Win 55.8%

Draw 23.4%

Alianza Valledupar Win 20.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Independiente Medellin1.45

Alianza Valledupar1.04

Recent Form (Last 5)

Independiente Medellin

L L L W L

4 GF / 9 GA

Alianza Valledupar

L W W D L

5 GF / 6 GA

Key Stats

1.39

Average Goals Scored

0.83

1.35

Average Goals Conceded

1.53

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.57

Shots on Goal

3.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Medellin 46 matches

Alianza Valledupar 36 matches

Independiente Medellin	Statistic	Alianza Valledupar
19	Wins	8
10	Draws	12
17	Losses	16
64	Goals For	30
62	Goals Against	55
1.39	Avg Goals Scored	0.83
1.35	Avg Goals Conceded	1.53
31	BTTS Yes	18
36	Over 1.5	23
28	Over 2.5	15
13	Over 3.5	8
9	Clean Sheets	8
8	Failed To Score	13
4.57	Shots On Goal	3.03
13.59	Total Shots	11.09
5.05	Corners	4.11
50%	Ball Possession	44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 7 times, Alianza Valledupar won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 1X (79.1%)

Predicted formations: Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1 / Alianza Valledupar 3-4-3

H2H summary: Independiente Medellin wins 7, draws 5, Alianza Valledupar wins 3

Standings

Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	20	40	D W W W L
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	7	35	L D W D D
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	4	34	L W L L D
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	10	33	W W D L W
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	9	33	W D D W W
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	10	31	L L L D D
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	7	29	L W W L W
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28	W L W D D
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	4	27	W D W D D
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	8	26	D W D D D
11	Independiente Medellin Home	19	7	5	7	26:24	2	26	W L L L W
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26	W W L W D
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	6	23	D W L L D
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22	W L L W L
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22	L L D L D
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18	L W L L W
17	Alianza Valledupar Away	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17	L L W W D
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17	L D W L L
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16	L L W W W
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10	W D W D D

Post season qualification