BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Independiente FSJ
Match Timeline
Cianorte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
47'
Robson Luiz
Cianorte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.2%
-
BTTS No
82.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independiente FSJ Win 33.3%
Draw 22.8%
Cianorte Win 43.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente FSJ0.5
Cianorte0.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
Cianorte Cianorte
WLDWL
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.3
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
0
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ 10 matches
Cianorte Cianorte 10 matches
Independiente FSJ Statistic Cianorte
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
3 Goals For 9
4 Goals Against 8
0.3 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
0 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 3
0 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Cianorte's more proactive style and Independiente FSJ's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cianorte. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cianorte having the stronger overall control.

Independiente FSJ Analysis

Independiente FSJ enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 3:4, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cianorte Analysis

Cianorte come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 16 points from 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 9:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Independiente FSJ won 1 times, Cianorte won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:11 from Independiente FSJ's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.2%)
H2H summary: Independiente FSJ wins 1, draws 1, Cianorte wins 5
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
28.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
19.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
Last matches: Cianorte
11.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
4
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
3
1
W
06.09.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
1
L
31.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
H2H: Independiente FSJ vs Cianorte
28.06.26
H2H
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
W
20.06.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
15.01.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
0
D
18.01.25
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
5
L
17.01.24
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
18.01.23
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
2
L
27.02.22
H2H
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
2
0
L
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
07.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
19.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
1
0
W
H2H at home: Independiente FSJ
20.06.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
15.01.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
0
D
18.01.25
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
5
L
17.01.24
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
18.01.23
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
2
L
Last matches: Cianorte
11.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
06.09.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
2
L
27.06.25
Ser
Cianorte
Inter De Limeira
0
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Cianorte
Goiatuba EC
1
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Uberlandia
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Monte Azul
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Cianorte
Itabirito
2
2
D
H2H away: Cianorte
20.06.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
W
15.01.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
0
D
18.01.25
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
5
W
17.01.24
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
W
18.01.23
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
2
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)