Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.4%
|
2.50 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
34.5%
|
2.82 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independ. Rivadavia
31 matches
Fluminense
32 matches
| Independ. Rivadavia | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 14 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 53 | Goals For | 49 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.83 | Shots On Goal | 5.47 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 15.17 |
| 4.41 | Corners | 5.27 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 60.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together Independ. Rivadavia's more proactive style and Fluminense's more cautious structure, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Fluminense controlled more possession in the first leg (72% against 28%). Independ. Rivadavia were also more accurate in attack, recording 3 shots on target to 2. Fluminense circulated the ball more often, making 612 passes to 221 and completing 550. Independ. Rivadavia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Independ. Rivadavia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 16 points compared to Fluminense in 2 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independ. Rivadavia expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Fluminense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fluminense having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fluminense.
Independ. Rivadavia enter this tie with a season profile built on 16 points from 6 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats with goals at 15:6 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking weight falls on A. Arce (8 goals), S. Villa (3 goals), D. Crego (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Fernández (4 assists), S. Villa (3 assists), J. I. Florentin Bobadilla (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Fluminense enter this tie with a season profile built on 8 points from 6 matches, placing them 2 in their league. With 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 7:7, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on John Kennedy (2 goals), A. Canobbio (1 goals), Guilherme Arana (1 goals), with creative support from J. Savarino (1 assists), Martinelli (1 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Independ. Rivadavia won 1 times, Fluminense won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Independ. Rivadavia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Gremio
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
CA Estudiantes
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Gremio
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Bahia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independ. Rivadavia
Home
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 |
Fluminense
Away
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
D
L
D
|