IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.5%
1.04
BTTS Yes
53.4%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.5%
1.80
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
IMT Novi Beograd Win 38.5%
Draw 22.5%
FK Crvena Zvezda Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
IMT Novi Beograd0.93
FK Crvena Zvezda1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd
WWDLW
16 GF / 25 GA
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
WLDWL
46 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
2.19
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
13
5.75
Shots on Goal
5.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 18 matches
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 21 matches
IMT Novi Beograd Statistic FK Crvena Zvezda
5 Wins 13
3 Draws 3
10 Losses 5
16 Goals For 46
25 Goals Against 21
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 19
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 4
5.75 Shots On Goal 5.23
16.75 Total Shots 10.77
5.25 Corners 3.15
53.3% Ball Possession 40.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IMT Novi Beograd expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FK Crvena Zvezda in 3-2-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FK Crvena Zvezda having the stronger overall control. FK Crvena Zvezda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while IMT Novi Beograd sit 3 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. FK Crvena Zvezda look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FK Crvena Zvezda. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

IMT Novi Beograd Analysis

IMT Novi Beograd come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 13 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Charly Keita (2 goals), Tadija Cojić (1 goals), Vasilije Novičić (1 goals), with creative support from Tadija Cojić (2 assists), Vasilije Novičić (1 assists), Nikola Glišić (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FK Crvena Zvezda Analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 15 points after 5 matches. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:1, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Dimitrije Šarić (2 goals), Aleksandar Katai (1 goals), Mohammad Abu Fani (1 goals), with creative support from Aleksandar Katai (3 assists), Mohammad Abu Fani (2 assists), Mirko Ivanić (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, IMT Novi Beograd won 0 times, FK Crvena Zvezda won 8 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:24 from IMT Novi Beograd's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.5%)
Predicted formations: IMT Novi Beograd 4-4-2 / FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2-4-1
H2H summary: IMT Novi Beograd wins 0, draws 0, FK Crvena Zvezda wins 8

Standings

Super Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 18:2 16 19
D W W W W
2 8 6 0 2 17:7 10 18
W W W L W
3 8 4 2 2 12:6 6 14
W D D W W
4 8 4 2 2 11:5 6 14
D W L D L
5 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
L W L W W
6 8 3 3 2 9:10 -1 12
D W L W W
7 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
D W D L W
8 7 3 2 2 11:7 4 11
W L W L D
9 9 3 2 4 11:16 -5 11
D L L L W
10 8 2 3 3 9:13 -4 9
D L W L D
11 9 2 2 5 5:15 -10 8
L D D W L
12 7 2 1 4 11:12 -1 7
L W L L L
13 7 1 2 4 3:7 -4 5
L D L D W
14 8 0 1 7 3:16 -13 1
L L L L L
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