BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Imperatriz
Match Timeline
Águia de Marabá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
A. Silva
Águia de Marabá
47'
A. Silva
Águia de Marabá
72'
PH
Águia de Marabá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Imperatriz Win 39.5%
Draw 23.6%
Águia de Marabá Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Imperatriz1.31
Águia de Marabá1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Imperatriz Imperatriz
WWDLW
10 GF / 7 GA
Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
4
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Imperatriz Imperatriz 7 matches
Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá 7 matches
Imperatriz Statistic Águia de Marabá
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
10 Goals For 14
7 Goals Against 8
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Águia de Marabá having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Águia de Marabá. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Imperatriz Analysis

Imperatriz arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 9 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ivan (2 goals), Wyldson (2 goals), Anderson Brito (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Águia de Marabá Analysis

Águia de Marabá come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 12 points after 7 matches. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Felipe Para (4 goals), A. Silva (3 goals), Dede (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Imperatriz won 0 times, Águia de Marabá won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Imperatriz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.4%)
H2H summary: Imperatriz wins 0, draws 1, Águia de Marabá wins 1
Last matches: Imperatriz
04.07.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Ferroviario
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
0
3
L
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
04.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
5
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
4
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
3
3
D
05.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
6
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
3
1
W
H2H: Imperatriz vs Águia de Marabá
23.05.26
H2H
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
19.04.26
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D
Last matches: Imperatriz
04.07.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Ferroviario
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
4
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
4
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Altos
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
2
1
W
H2H at home: Imperatriz
23.05.26
H2H
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
21.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
27.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
3
3
D
29.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
2
L
01.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
3
1
W
11.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
0
D
27.04.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
2
0
W
H2H away: Águia de Marabá
23.05.26
H2H
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
W

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)