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NIGERIA › NPFL
25.10.2026 15:00
Mobolaji Johnson Arena

Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ikorodu City Win 87%
Draw 6.5%
Shooting Stars Win 6.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ikorodu City1.26
Shooting Stars1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Shooting Stars Shooting Stars
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 9 matches
Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 9 matches
Ikorodu City Statistic Shooting Stars
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
11 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 12
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Ikorodu City's more proactive style and Shooting Stars's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shooting Stars. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Shooting Stars having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Ikorodu City Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Ikorodu City have collected 12 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Shooting Stars Analysis

Shooting Stars sit 13 with 11 points after 9 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 10:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ikorodu City won 2 times, Shooting Stars won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Ikorodu City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.5%)
H2H summary: Ikorodu City wins 2, draws 2, Shooting Stars wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 4 5 0 13:2 11 17
D D W D D
2 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
D W W L W
3 9 4 3 2 13:11 2 15
W W D D D
4 9 4 2 3 15:11 4 14
L W L W D
5 9 3 5 1 12:9 3 14
D D L D W
6 9 4 2 3 10:8 2 14
W W D W L
7 9 3 5 1 12:11 1 14
W L D D D
8 9 4 2 3 11:11 0 14
D L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 11:9 2 12
L W L D W
10 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
L W L W L
11 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
W D W L D
12 9 3 3 3 10:12 -2 12
L W D D W
13 9 3 2 4 10:10 0 11
D L W L W
14 9 3 2 4 6:7 -1 11
D W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 10:12 -2 11
W L D D L
16 9 2 4 3 9:12 -3 10
D D L W L
17 9 2 3 4 8:15 -7 9
D W L W L
18 9 2 2 5 11:14 -3 8
D L W W D
19 9 2 2 5 10:13 -3 8
L D L D L
20 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 2
L L D L D
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation