SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
--.--.---- --:--
Domnarvsvallen
Referee: R. Beigi
IK brage
Match Timeline
IFK Varnamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Anton Lundin
IK brage
39'
G. Nordh · Assist: F. Trpcevski
IK brage
🔄
43'
H. Andersson ↔ S. Coulibaly
IFK Varnamo
🟨
44'
Johan Rapp
IFK Varnamo
45'
K. Meriluoto · Assist: N. Shamoun
IFK Varnamo
45'
H. Keto
IK brage
46'
G. Nordh · Assist: P. Jonsson
IK brage
🟨
56'
Samuel Ohlsson
IFK Varnamo
57'
G. Nordh
IK brage
🔄
58'
F. Trpcevski ↔ J. Skille
IK brage
🔄
65'
S. Ohlsson ↔ A. Bjornstrom
IFK Varnamo
🔄
66'
J. Rapp ↔ E. Freij
IFK Varnamo
🔄
66'
A. Kujundzic ↔ M. Kamara
IFK Varnamo
🔄
75'
N. Shamoun ↔ B. Zulovic
IFK Varnamo
🔄
76'
G. Nordh ↔ O. Stark
IK brage
80'
G. Granstrom · Assist: J. Skille
IK brage
🔄
81'
T. Stagaard ↔ M. Persson
IK brage
🔄
81'
A. Lundin ↔ H. Brkic
IK brage
🟨
88'
Viktor Frodig
IK brage

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.2%
1.33
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.2%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
IK brage Win 48.3%
Draw 25.8%
IFK Varnamo Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
IK brage1.75
IFK Varnamo1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
IK brage IK brage
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WLDWL
28 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
10
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
12
1.92
Shots on Goal
2.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IK brage IK brage 17 matches
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 19 matches
IK brage Statistic IFK Varnamo
8 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
5 Losses 10
28 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 36
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 7
1.92 Shots On Goal 2.58
3 Total Shots 4.33
2.58 Corners 2.92
27.5% Ball Possession 36%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IFK Varnamo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. IFK Varnamo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

IK brage Analysis

So far, IK brage have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 13 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:18 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Nordh (4 goals), A. Lundin (3 goals), Felix Hörberg (3 goals), with creative support from A. Sporrong (4 assists), G. Nordh (3 assists), A. Lundin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 14:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on H. Andersson (3 goals), L. Robertsson (3 goals), A. Bjornstrom (2 goals), with creative support from S. Thern (3 assists), S. Jansson (2 assists), Carl Johansson (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, IK brage won 3 times, IFK Varnamo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from IK brage's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.2%)
Predicted formations: IK brage 4-3-3 / IFK Varnamo 4-3-3
H2H summary: IK brage wins 3, draws 0, IFK Varnamo wins 2

Lineups

IK brage
Formation
IFK Varnamo
V. Frodig
V. Frodig
N. Ostberg
N. Ostberg
A. Zetterstrom
A. Zetterstrom
T. Stagaard
T. Stagaard
A. Hellblom
A. Hellblom
P. Jonsson
🎯
P. Jonsson
A. Lundin
A. Lundin
G. Granstrom
G. Granstrom
G. Nordh
⚽ 3
G. Nordh
A. Mortensen
A. Mortensen
F. Trpcevski
🎯
F. Trpcevski
H. Keto
H. Keto
J. Rapp
J. Rapp
H. Andersson
H. Andersson
D. Bergqvist
D. Bergqvist
S. Ohlsson
S. Ohlsson
C. Johansson
C. Johansson
L. Robertsson
L. Robertsson
A. Kujundzic
A. Kujundzic
N. Shamoun
🎯
N. Shamoun
M. Antonsson
M. Antonsson
K. Meriluoto
K. Meriluoto
IK brage 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
V. Frodig
🟨 88'
G
21
N. Ostberg
D
2
A. Zetterstrom
D
22
T. Stagaard
↓ 81'
D
24
A. Hellblom
D
17
P. Jonsson
🎯 46'
M
11
A. Lundin
↓ 81' 🟨 34'
M
28
G. Granstrom
⚽ 80'
M
20
G. Nordh
⚽ 39' ⚽ 46' ⚽ 57' ↓ 76'
M
12
A. Mortensen
M
9
F. Trpcevski
🎯 39' ↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Engdahl
G
30
J. Guadagno
G
4
M. Persson
↑ 81'
D
5
L. Konjuhi
D
14
J. Skille
🎯 80' ↑ 58'
F
15
O. Stark
↑ 76'
M
19
H. Brkic
↑ 81'
M
7
M. Larsen
IFK Varnamo 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
H. Keto
⚽ 45'
G
2
J. Rapp
↓ 66' 🟨 44'
D
6
H. Andersson
↓ 43'
D
5
D. Bergqvist
D
4
S. Ohlsson
↓ 65' 🟨 56'
D
7
C. Johansson
M
23
L. Robertsson
M
16
A. Kujundzic
↓ 66'
M
11
N. Shamoun
🎯 45' ↓ 75'
M
14
M. Antonsson
F
9
K. Meriluoto
⚽ 45'
F
Substitutes
39
B. Sapielak
G
3
A. Bjornstrom
↑ 65'
D
13
S. Jansson
D
15
S. Coulibaly
↑ 43'
D
17
F. Bozicevic
M
19
E. Freij
↑ 66'
D
21
I. Abdulrazak
M
24
M. Kamara
↑ 66'
M
34
B. Zulovic
↑ 75'
F
Last matches: IK brage
14.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Sandviken
2
3
L
09.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Ljungskile SK
2
2
D
30.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Landskrona BoIS
2
2
D
23.05.26
Sup
IK brage
United Nordic
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Norrkoping
0
0
D
13.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Ostersunds FK
2
4
L
08.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Orebro SK
3
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Helsingborg
0
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
2
D
20.04.26
Sup
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Oddevold
3
4
L
05.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Norrby IF
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
IK brage
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IK brage
Gefle IF
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
IK brage
IF Karlstad
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
IK brage
Sandviken
3
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
14.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall
3
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrkoping
0
6
L
28.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Kalmar FF
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Trelleborg
0
0
D
13.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Eskilsminne
6
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Karpaty
1
1
D
22.01.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
H2H: IK brage vs IFK Varnamo
21.06.26
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
5
1
W
20.11.21
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
3
1
W
24.04.21
H2H
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
0
L
28.07.18
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
0
1
L
30.06.18
H2H
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
2
3
W
Last matches: IK brage
09.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Ljungskile SK
2
2
D
16.05.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Norrkoping
0
0
D
13.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Ostersunds FK
2
4
L
26.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
2
D
12.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Oddevold
3
4
L
21.03.26
Fri
IK brage
Gefle IF
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
IK brage
IF Karlstad
1
0
W
H2H at home: IK brage
21.06.26
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
5
1
W
20.11.21
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
3
1
W
28.07.18
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
0
1
L
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrkoping
0
6
L
14.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Trelleborg
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Karpaty
1
1
D
H2H away: IFK Varnamo
21.06.26
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
5
1
L
20.11.21
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
3
1
L
28.07.18
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.42
Draw 3.68
Home 2.04
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.88
Draw 2.42
Home 2.57
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.83
Over 3.0 2.09
Over 3.25 2.37
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 4.5 4.72
Under 1.5 4.57
Under 2.25 2.67
Under 2.5 2.22
Under 2.75 1.99
Under 3.0 1.75
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 4.5 1.19
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.50
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.38
Home 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.60
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.33
Draw 3.56
Home 2.03
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 2.22
Home 2.54
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.46
Draw 2.62
Home 2.32
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.47
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.24
Over 3.5 2.49
Over 3.75 2.92
Over 4.0 3.74
Over 4.25 4.06
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 4.75 5.39
Over 5.0 7.30
Over 5.5 7.90
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 9.10
Under 1.25 5.50
Under 1.5 4.05
Under 1.75 3.66
Under 2.0 3.24
Under 2.25 2.57
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 2.75 1.94
Under 3.0 1.68
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 3.75 1.31
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.40
Home 2.08
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.32
Home 2.63
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.63
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 3.0 2.20
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.0 4.35
Over 4.25 4.70
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.0 9.00
Under 1.5 3.85
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 4.0 1.17
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 5.0 1.04

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 23:9 14 26
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 24:18 6 25
W D L W W
3 13 7 3 3 26:16 10 24
L L W W W
4 13 6 4 3 21:14 7 22
W W W D W
5 13 6 3 4 20:19 1 21
D L D W W
6 13 6 2 5 24:25 -1 20
W W L L W
7 13 6 2 5 20:21 -1 20
L W W W L
8 13 5 4 4 23:19 4 19
D W L L W
9 13 5 4 4 20:19 1 19
L D D W L
10 13 4 4 5 24:22 2 16
W L D D L
11 13 4 4 5 20:18 2 16
D W W W L
12 13 3 5 5 11:17 -6 14
D D L L L
13 13 3 4 6 15:16 -1 13
D D D L L
14 13 1 8 4 15:20 -5 11
D L L L W
15 13 3 1 9 15:30 -15 10
L L L L L
16 13 3 0 10 11:29 -18 9
L L W L L
Promotion - Allsvenskan
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Promotion)
Division 1 - Norra (Relegation)
Relegation