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20.07.2026 15:00
Veritas Stadium
Referee: Miikka Haapakoski, Finland
Turku PS
Match Timeline
Ilves
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Ville Kumpu
Ilves
🟨
29'
Nikolas Talo
Turku PS
🟨
32'
Teemu Hytönen
Ilves
⚽
34'
T. Hytonen · Assist: O. Pettersson
Ilves
⚽
42'
M. Hradecky · Assist: T. Zaal
Turku PS
⚽
45'
O. Pettersson
Ilves
🔄
46'
N. Talo ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
46'
J. Kilo ↔ A. Popovitch
Ilves
🟨
49'
Elmer Vauhkonen
Turku PS
🟨
57'
Kian Visser
Turku PS
🔄
58'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
🔄
64'
V. Kumpu ↔ S. Vaisanen
Ilves
🔄
64'
Y. Raap ↔ O. Multala
Ilves
🟨
68'
Oscar Haggstrom
Turku PS
🔄
69'
P. Juvanteny ↔ L. Ikonen
Turku PS
⚽
69'
T. Hytonen · Assist: J. Kanga
Ilves
🟨
73'
Oscar Haggstrom
Turku PS
🟥
73'
Oscar Haggstrom
Turku PS
🔄
74'
T. Hytonen ↔ R. Riski
Ilves
🔄
76'
M. Konkkola ↔ C. Azongnitode
Turku PS
🔄
81'
J. Veteli ↔ O. Tiitinen
Ilves
🟨
90+2'
Sauli Väisänen
Ilves

Turku PS vs Ilves Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 80.5%
Draw 5.7%
Ilves Win 13.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS1.3
Ilves1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
W L W D L
8 GF / 7 GA
Ilves Ilves
W D L D L
9 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
10
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
13
2.2
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 20 matches
Ilves Ilves 21 matches
Turku PS Statistic Ilves
8 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 8
23 Goals For 41
21 Goals Against 32
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
10 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 3
2.2 Shots On Goal 3.07
6.2 Total Shots 6.93
2.73 Corners 2.4
27.1% Ball Possession 29.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Turku PS's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Turku PS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ilves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ilves having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ilves. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Turku PS Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Turku PS have collected 22 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 19:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ilves Analysis

Ilves sit 9 with 16 points after 15 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 25:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 0 times, Ilves won 10 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:21 from Turku PS's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-2-3-1 / Ilves 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Turku PS wins 0, draws 0, Ilves wins 10

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
D W L L W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W L W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D W W W D
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L L L D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W W L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
D L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9
Ilves Away
22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D W D
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs