Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
80.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Turku PS
Ilves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Turku PS
20 matches
Ilves
21 matches
| Turku PS | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 41 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.95 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2.2 | Shots On Goal | 3.07 |
| 6.2 | Total Shots | 6.93 |
| 2.73 | Corners | 2.4 |
| 27.1% | Ball Possession | 29.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Turku PS's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Turku PS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ilves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ilves having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ilves. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
From their first 15 matches, Turku PS have collected 22 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 19:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Ilves sit 9 with 16 points after 15 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 25:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 0 times, Ilves won 10 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:21 from Turku PS's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Lineups
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
Inter Turku
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Gnistan
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
PK-35
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
AC Oulu
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
Gnistan
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
PK-35
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
Haka
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Turku PS
Home
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Away
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 31:31 | 0 | 25 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|