LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Referee: A. Kenins
FS Jelgava
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
M. Sylla · Assist: L. Odisharia
Rīgas FS
🟨
42'
F. Hasek
FS Jelgava
🔄
56'
M. Sylla ↔ G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🔄
56'
S. Rakic ↔ M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
🔄
70'
T. Rataj ↔ G. Patika
FS Jelgava
🔄
71'
F. Hasek ↔ A. Petersons
FS Jelgava
🔄
71'
M. Pudil ↔ R. Becers
FS Jelgava
🔄
78'
R. Savalnieks ↔ A. Filipovic
Rīgas FS
🔄
78'
L. Odisharia ↔ R. Ndjiki
Rīgas FS
🔄
84'
R. Melkis ↔ A. Janovskis
FS Jelgava
🟨
88'
M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
🟨
90+3'
M. Semesko
FS Jelgava

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FS Jelgava Win 32%
Draw 3.5%
Rīgas FS Win 64.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FS Jelgava0.99
Rīgas FS2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
WWDLW
29 GF / 46 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
85 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
2.36
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
12
BTTS Yes
18
11
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 27 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 36 matches
FS Jelgava Statistic Rīgas FS
7 Wins 28
7 Draws 5
13 Losses 3
29 Goals For 85
46 Goals Against 31
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 2.36
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
12 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 29
11 Over 2.5 21
8 Over 3.5 15
4 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rīgas FS's more proactive style and FS Jelgava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 56 points while FS Jelgava sit 6 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rīgas FS.

FS Jelgava Analysis

From their first 22 matches, FS Jelgava have collected 25 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 24:38 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 56 points after 22 outings. With 18 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 54:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 1 times, Rīgas FS won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:34 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: FS Jelgava 5-4-1 / Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 1, draws 1, Rīgas FS wins 13
Last matches: FS Jelgava
09.08.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
1
L
01.08.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
26.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
Last matches: Rīgas FS
13.08.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
1
2
L
10.08.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
6
1
W
06.08.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
0
2
L
30.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
1
1
D
27.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
4
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
H2H: FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS
20.07.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
12.07.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
21.05.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
L
08.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
13.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
4
W
12.07.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
26.06.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
05.05.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
11.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
L
30.09.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
05.07.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
7
0
L
15.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
03.04.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
5
1
L
24.09.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
16.07.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
Last matches: FS Jelgava
09.08.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
1
L
26.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
H2H at home: FS Jelgava
20.07.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
08.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
12.07.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
26.06.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
05.05.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
30.09.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
15.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.09.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
16.07.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
Last matches: Rīgas FS
06.08.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
0
2
L
30.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
1
1
D
27.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
1
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Paide
2
2
D
H2H away: Rīgas FS
20.07.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
08.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
12.07.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
26.06.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
05.05.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
30.09.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
2
W
15.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
24.09.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
16.07.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
3
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 21 2 2 62:17 45 65
W W W D W
2 25 20 4 1 76:21 55 64
W W W W W
3 24 14 4 6 39:26 13 46
W W D L D
4 26 10 6 10 33:31 2 36
W W L W W
5 25 10 4 11 33:37 -4 34
W L W L W
6 24 8 3 13 26:37 -11 27
L W L W L
7 26 6 7 13 25:44 -19 25
L L L L L
8 26 4 9 13 18:47 -29 21
L L D L W
9 26 4 8 14 40:51 -11 20
L W L L L
10 25 3 5 17 24:65 -41 14
L D L W L