SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
29.08.2026 13:00
Borås Arena
Referee: Adi Aganovic, Sweden
IF Elfsborg
Match Timeline
Degerfors IF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
L. Ostman · Assist: N. Hult
IF Elfsborg
🟨
29'
Samba Diatara
Degerfors IF
🔄
59'
S. Diatara ↔ D. Sundgren
Degerfors IF
🔄
64'
A. Zeneli ↔ S. Hedlund
IF Elfsborg
🔄
67'
E. Barsoum ↔ L. Fritzson
Degerfors IF
🟨
81'
Robin Dzabic
Degerfors IF
🔄
82'
M. Kamara ↔ A. Sigurpalsson
IF Elfsborg
🔄
82'
L. Ostman ↔ T. Silverholt
IF Elfsborg
🔄
82'
A. Faqa ↔ S. Ohlsson
Degerfors IF
🔄
82'
D. Vukojevic ↔ K. Boutera
Degerfors IF
87'
A. Sigurpalsson · Assist: T. Silverholt
IF Elfsborg
🔄
88'
O. Nordvall ↔ R. Mohammed
IF Elfsborg

IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.7%
1.14
BTTS Yes
66.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.83
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.9%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
IF Elfsborg Win 50%
Draw 20.7%
Degerfors IF Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Elfsborg1.45
Degerfors IF1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WLDWL
32 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
17
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
16
4.17
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 27 matches
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 26 matches
IF Elfsborg Statistic Degerfors IF
11 Wins 8
8 Draws 5
8 Losses 13
36 Goals For 32
32 Goals Against 42
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
17 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 8
4.17 Shots On Goal 3
12.22 Total Shots 10.67
3.94 Corners 4.28
47.2% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by IF Elfsborg's more proactive style and Degerfors IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Degerfors IF. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. IF Elfsborg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 27 points compared to Degerfors IF in 14 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Degerfors IF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

IF Elfsborg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 27 points after 17 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a 24:18 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (3 goals), Julius Magnusson (1 goals), Arbër Zeneli (1 goals), with creative support from Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (2 assists), Julius Magnusson (2 assists), Arbër Zeneli (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Degerfors IF Analysis

Degerfors IF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 16 points from 17 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 17:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Dijan Vukojevic (4 goals), Samba Diatara (1 goals), with creative support from Samba Diatara (1 assists), Matvei Igonen (1 assists), Nikolai Skuseth (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, IF Elfsborg won 8 times, Degerfors IF won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:13 from IF Elfsborg's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1 / Degerfors IF 4-2-3-1
Missing players: IF Elfsborg 3, Degerfors IF 2
H2H summary: IF Elfsborg wins 8, draws 4, Degerfors IF wins 2

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 3 3 48:27 21 45
W L L L D
2 21 12 4 5 48:20 28 40
W D L W W
3 20 12 2 6 44:19 25 38
W W W W L
4 21 9 7 5 29:21 8 34
W L W D W
5 21 10 3 8 37:31 6 33
W D W L W
6 21 8 9 4 34:30 4 33
D D L W W
7 20 9 5 6 29:31 -2 32
L D W W W
8 21 9 5 7 32:35 -3 32
W L W D L
9 21 8 5 8 30:41 -11 29
W W W D L
10 20 7 6 7 25:18 7 27
D W L L W
11 21 7 6 8 30:35 -5 27
L W L W W
12 20 5 6 9 26:34 -8 21
D L L L W
13 21 5 4 12 21:31 -10 19
L L L D L
14 20 5 4 11 19:31 -12 19
W L L W W
15 21 3 6 12 24:47 -23 15
L D L D L
16 21 2 5 14 14:39 -25 11
L L W D L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation