SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
Grimsta IP
Referee: Richard Sundell, Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
Match Timeline
Sirius
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
Isak Bjerkebo
Sirius
40'
Robbie Ure · Assist: Oscar Krusnell
Sirius
47'
Andreas Troelsen · Assist: Mads Hansen
IF Brommapojkarna
🔄
61'
Victor Svensson ↔ Charlie Nilden
Sirius
🔄
64'
Mohamed Wael Derbali ↔ Kaare Barslund
IF Brommapojkarna
🟨
73'
Melker Heier
Sirius
🔄
80'
Melker Heier ↔ Matthias Nartey
Sirius
🔄
84'
Odera Samuel Adindu ↔ Jesper Uneken
Sirius

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IF Brommapojkarna Win 23.2%
Draw 3.9%
Sirius Win 72.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Brommapojkarna1.25
Sirius2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna
WWDLW
25 GF / 33 GA
Sirius Sirius
WLDWL
41 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
2.41
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
14
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
4.18
Shots on Goal
5.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna 21 matches
Sirius Sirius 17 matches
IF Brommapojkarna Statistic Sirius
6 Wins 12
7 Draws 3
8 Losses 2
25 Goals For 41
33 Goals Against 23
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 2.41
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
14 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 1
4.18 Shots On Goal 5.73
11.36 Total Shots 15
4.36 Corners 5.18
46.2% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sirius's more proactive style and IF Brommapojkarna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sirius. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IF Brommapojkarna expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sirius in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sirius having the stronger overall control. Sirius look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Sirius carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 29 points while IF Brommapojkarna sit 8 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

IF Brommapojkarna Analysis

IF Brommapojkarna sit 8 with 15 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 15:16 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sirius Analysis

Sirius come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 29 points after 11 matches. The return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 31:14, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Ure (4 goals), with creative support from M. Lindberg (1 assists), I. Bjerkebo (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, IF Brommapojkarna won 2 times, Sirius won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:34 from IF Brommapojkarna's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: IF Brommapojkarna 4-4-2 / Sirius 4-3-3
Missing players: IF Brommapojkarna 2, Sirius 4
H2H summary: IF Brommapojkarna wins 2, draws 2, Sirius wins 10

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 3 2 47:26 21 42
L L D W W
2 19 11 3 5 44:18 26 36
L W W W D
3 19 8 7 4 27:19 8 31
W D W W W
4 19 8 7 4 33:29 4 31
L W W L D
5 18 9 4 5 28:27 1 31
W W W L D
6 17 9 2 6 37:19 18 29
W L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 28:33 -5 29
W D L W L
8 18 8 2 8 32:30 2 26
L W L W L
9 18 6 6 6 27:27 0 24
W W D L D
10 18 6 5 7 21:18 3 23
L L W D L
11 19 6 5 8 24:39 -15 23
W D L W W
12 16 5 5 6 24:23 1 20
W L L D L
13 19 5 4 10 21:29 -8 19
L D L L D
14 19 4 4 11 17:31 -14 16
L L W W L
15 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
L D L L W
16 19 2 5 12 13:35 -22 11
W D L L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation