ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
05.09.2026 16:30
MKM Stadium
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Hull City
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Semi Ajayi
Hull City
🔄
63'
E. Stroud ↔ S. Thomas
Hull City
🔄
64'
L. Coyle ↔ B. Norton-Cuffy
Hull City
🟨
67'
Lucas Gourna-Douath
Hull City
🔄
71'
N. Mendy ↔ L. Herrington
Hull City
🔄
75'
I. Maatsen ↔ M. Ruggeri
Aston Villa
🔄
75'
E. Buendia ↔ A. Garnacho
Aston Villa
🔄
75'
G. Hemmings ↔ Alysson
Aston Villa
🔄
81'
L. Gourna-Douath ↔ J. Hjerto-Dahl
Hull City
🔄
82'
M. Belloumi ↔ M. Cho
Hull City
🔄
85'
M. Cash ↔ A. Wan-Bissaka
Aston Villa
🔄
85'
N. Jackson ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa

Hull City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.7%
Odds 4.29
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.07
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.7%
4.29
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.07
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.48
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Hull City Win 67.7%
Draw 10.8%
Aston Villa Win 21.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hull City1.57
Aston Villa1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hull City Hull City
WWDLW
9 GF / 4 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hull City Hull City 7 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 10 matches
Hull City Statistic Aston Villa
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 8
9 Goals For 15
4 Goals Against 20
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 9
0 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 1.33
7 Total Shots 9.33
1.5 Corners 2
29.5% Ball Possession 35%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Hull City won 1 times, Aston Villa won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Hull City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Hull City 5-4-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Hull City 7, Aston Villa 4
H2H summary: Hull City wins 1, draws 4, Aston Villa wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 8:1 7 12
W W W W
2 4 4 0 0 8:2 6 12
W W W W
3 4 2 2 0 7:3 4 8
W D D W
4 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D D W W
5 4 2 1 1 13:5 8 7
W D L W
6 4 2 1 1 10:9 1 7
D L W W
7 4 1 3 0 7:4 3 6
D D D W
8 4 1 3 0 6:4 2 6
D W D D
9 4 1 3 0 5:3 2 6
D D D W
10 4 2 0 2 7:10 -3 6
W L L W
11 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
W D D L
12 4 1 2 1 7:8 -1 5
L D W D
13 4 1 1 2 7:7 0 4
L D W L
14 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
L D W L
15 4 0 3 1 6:7 -1 3
D D D L
16 4 1 0 3 6:11 -5 3
L W L L
17 4 0 2 2 0:5 -5 2
D D L L
18 4 0 1 3 4:7 -3 1
D L L L
19 4 0 1 3 1:7 -6 1
L D L L
20 4 0 0 4 0:10 -10 0
L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship