🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
17.05.2026 00:30
Shell Energy Stadium
Referee: I. Elfath
Houston Dynamo
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Kenji Cabrera
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
34'
D. Samassekou ↔ A. Bouzat
Houston Dynamo
🔄
40'
O. Larraz ↔ A. Cubas
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
45+11'
Tate Johnson
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
48'
Édier Ocampo
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
54'
Agustin Resch
Houston Dynamo
🟨
62'
Andrés Cubas
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟥
64'
Yohei Takaoka
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
67'
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura ↔ I. Boehmer
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
67'
T. Johnson ↔ M. Gherasimencov
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
77'
E. Ocampo ↔ R. Veselinovic
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
77'
T. Muller ↔ A. Jackson
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
84'
M. Bogusz ↔ O. Lingr
Houston Dynamo
🔄
85'
J. McGlynn ↔ H. Herrera
Houston Dynamo
🔄
85'
J. Badwal ↔ R. Elloumi
Vancouver Whitecaps
90'
Guilherme · Assist: Artur
Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Houston Dynamo Win 45.9%
Draw 0%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 54.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Houston Dynamo1.44
Vancouver Whitecaps1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WWDLW
33 GF / 31 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
35 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
10
4.67
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 19 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 20 matches
Houston Dynamo Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
11 Wins 11
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
33 Goals For 35
31 Goals Against 20
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 5
4.67 Shots On Goal 6.25
13.33 Total Shots 17.44
4.75 Corners 6.44
41.8% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vancouver Whitecaps's more proactive style and Houston Dynamo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Houston Dynamo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vancouver Whitecaps. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Houston Dynamo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Vancouver Whitecaps in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver Whitecaps having the stronger overall control. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 26 points while Houston Dynamo sit 8 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Houston Dynamo are currently 8 in the standings with 18 points from 11 matches. The record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 17:19 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Guilherme (6 goals), L. Ennali (3 goals), Felipe Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (4 assists), J. McGlynn (2 assists), L. Ennali (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 26 points from 11 games, Vancouver Whitecaps bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 27:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. White (8 goals), S. Berhalter (4 goals), T. Muller (4 goals), with creative support from S. Berhalter (4 assists), M. Laborda (2 assists), Emmanuel Sabbi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 7 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:23 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Houston Dynamo 4-4-2 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Houston Dynamo 2, Vancouver Whitecaps 7
H2H summary: Houston Dynamo wins 7, draws 4, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)