Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.9%
|
1.62 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.51 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.5%
|
1.54 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
6.75 |
Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Houston Dynamo
30 matches
San Jose Earthquakes
26 matches
| Houston Dynamo | Statistic | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 51 | Goals For | 46 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.71 | Shots On Goal | 5.14 |
| 13.19 | Total Shots | 13.29 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 6.24 |
| 46.4% | Ball Possession | 46.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Houston Dynamo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes.
Houston Dynamo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 38 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a 29:24 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Guilherme (6 goals), Mateusz Bogusz (3 goals), Lawrence Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Lawrence Ennali (2 assists), Jack McGlynn (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 33 points from 20 games and a place of 4, San Jose Earthquakes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 38:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 8 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:22 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | 33 | 49 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
Home
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 44 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | 9 | 44 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
San Jose Earthquakes
Away
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 36 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|