CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Poljud
Referee: P. Kolaric
HNK Hajduk Split
Match Timeline
Vukovar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
L. Banovec · Assist: R. Gonzalez
Vukovar
9'
R. Brajkovic · Assist: I. Almena
HNK Hajduk Split
16'
M. Sego
HNK Hajduk Split
19'
J. Gurlica · Assist: R. Gonzalez
Vukovar
26'
M. Sego · Assist: S. Hrgovic
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
46'
E. Shabani ↔ J. Biljan
Vukovar
🟨
52'
Jakov Biljan
Vukovar
54'
L. Banovec
HNK Hajduk Split
56'
A. Guram · Assist: M. Sego
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
57'
S. Butic ↔ D. Vinkovic
Vukovar
🔄
63'
A. Guram ↔ R. Pukstas
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
63'
R. Brajkovic ↔ B. Durdov
HNK Hajduk Split
VAR
65'
Iker Almena
HNK Hajduk Split
67'
I. Almena
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
68'
V. Caic ↔ L. Klanac
Vukovar
🔄
71'
M. Sego ↔ A. Kalik
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
71'
I. Almena ↔ A. Sanyang
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
77'
L. Hodak ↔ I. Kutia
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
80'
K. Cabrajic ↔ P. Bugas
Vukovar
🟨
89'
Hugo Guillamón
HNK Hajduk Split
90'
J. Puljic
Vukovar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
HNK Hajduk Split Win 84.1%
Draw 0%
Vukovar Win 15.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
HNK Hajduk Split1.7
Vukovar0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
WWDLW
61 GF / 39 GA
Vukovar Vukovar
WLDWL
34 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
19
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
20
4.82
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 39 matches
Vukovar Vukovar 35 matches
HNK Hajduk Split Statistic Vukovar
21 Wins 6
9 Draws 10
9 Losses 19
61 Goals For 34
39 Goals Against 67
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
19 BTTS Yes 21
32 Over 1.5 29
18 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 12
14 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 11
4.82 Shots On Goal 2.57
12.97 Total Shots 7.8
4.62 Corners 2.91
52% Ball Possession 35.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by HNK Hajduk Split's more proactive style and Vukovar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. HNK Hajduk Split arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 65 points compared to Vukovar in 10 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vukovar. Vukovar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

HNK Hajduk Split Analysis

HNK Hajduk Split arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 65 points after 35 matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 55:33 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Sego (11 goals), Marko Livaja (9 goals), Rokas Pukštas (9 goals), with creative support from Marko Livaja (6 assists), A. Rebic (5 assists), M. Sego (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Vukovar Analysis

Vukovar sit 10 with 28 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 34:67, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Puljic (15 goals), R. Gonzalez (7 goals), Lovro Banovec (3 goals), with creative support from Lovro Banovec (5 assists), R. Gonzalez (3 assists), M. Ticinovic (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, HNK Hajduk Split won 4 times, Vukovar won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:4 from HNK Hajduk Split's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1 / Vukovar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HNK Hajduk Split wins 4, draws 0, Vukovar wins 0
Stats
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar Vukovar
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 3
15 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Goal 3
1 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
458 Total passes 257
390 Passes accurate 202
3.34 expected_goals 1.90
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split
Formation
Vukovar
I. Ivusic
I. Ivusic
L. Hodak
L. Hodak
R. Gabric
R. Gabric
D. Maresic
D. Maresic
S. Hrgovic
🎯
S. Hrgovic
H. Guillamon
H. Guillamon
A. Pajaziti
A. Pajaziti
R. Brajkovic
R. Brajkovic
I. Almena
🎯
I. Almena
A. Guram
A. Guram
M. Sego
⚽ 2 🎯
M. Sego
A. Djakovic
A. Djakovic
J. Gurlica
J. Gurlica
N. Vlasenko
N. Vlasenko
M. Zivkovic
M. Zivkovic
K. Cabrajic
K. Cabrajic
E. Shabani
E. Shabani
V. Caic
V. Caic
S. Butic
S. Butic
R. Gonzalez
🎯
R. Gonzalez
L. Banovec
⚽ 2
L. Banovec
J. Puljic
J. Puljic
HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
I. Ivusic
G
38
L. Hodak
↓ 77'
D
3
R. Gabric
D
15
D. Maresic
D
32
S. Hrgovic
🎯 26'
D
6
H. Guillamon
🟨 89'
M
4
A. Pajaziti
M
28
R. Brajkovic
⚽ 9' ↓ 63'
M
30
I. Almena
⚽ 67' 🎯 9' ↓ 71'
M
26
A. Guram
⚽ 56' ↓ 63'
M
11
M. Sego
⚽ 16' ⚽ 26' 🎯 56' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
44
D. Stipica
G
33
T. Silic
G
7
A. Kalik
↑ 71'
M
21
R. Pukstas
↑ 63'
M
34
B. Durdov
↑ 63'
F
39
I. Kutia
↑ 77'
M
14
R. Raci
D
9
A. Rebic
F
10
M. Livaja
F
17
D. Melnjak
D
23
F. Krovinovic
M
24
A. Sanyang
↑ 71'
F
Vukovar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
A. Djakovic
G
35
J. Gurlica
⚽ 19'
M
5
N. Vlasenko
D
14
M. Zivkovic
D
20
K. Cabrajic
↓ 80'
D
77
E. Shabani
↓ 46'
M
13
V. Caic
↓ 68'
D
27
S. Butic
↓ 57'
M
10
R. Gonzalez
🎯 2' 🎯 19'
M
28
L. Banovec
⚽ 2' ⚽ 54'
M
21
J. Puljic
⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
22
D. Pintol
G
1
M. Bulat
G
39
P. Bugas
↑ 80'
F
33
L. Klanac
↑ 68'
F
6
J. Biljan
↑ 46' 🟨 52'
M
7
K. Calhanoglu
D
25
N. Pajvancic
F
23
D. Vinkovic
↑ 57'
Last matches: HNK Hajduk Split
23.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Pafos
2
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Žilina
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Žilina
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Celje
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
W
23.06.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Shkendija
4
0
W
16.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
09.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
26.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
21.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
0
1
L
17.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
07.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
3
1
W
21.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
0
W
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
28.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
15.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
2
0
W
Last matches: Vukovar
15.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
02.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
W
25.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
22.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
18.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
2
1
W
13.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
07.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
L
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
20.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
07.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
W
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Velež
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Primorje
3
0
W
H2H: HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar
22.05.26
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
3
W
21.03.26
H2H
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
W
21.12.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
2
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
W
Last matches: HNK Hajduk Split
23.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Pafos
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Žilina
2
0
W
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
21.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
0
1
L
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
07.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
25.01.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Siroki Brijeg
2
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Posušje
4
0
W
21.12.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
2
1
W
29.11.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
08.11.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
2
0
W
27.09.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
20.09.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
31.08.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
17.08.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
3
0
W
10.08.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
H2H at home: HNK Hajduk Split
22.05.26
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
3
W
21.12.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
2
1
W
Last matches: Vukovar
08.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
25.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
18.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
2
1
W
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
21.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
06.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
21.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
1
4
L
07.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
01.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
1
1
D
26.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
14.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
4
L
08.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
01.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
1
L
H2H away: Vukovar
22.05.26
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
3
L
21.12.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
2
1
L

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation