07.09.2026 19:00
Wanderers Grounds
HFX Wanderers FC
Match Timeline
Cavalry FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Nikolas Myroniuk
Cavalry FC
🔄
45'
Nikolas Myroniuk ↔ E. Kobza
Cavalry FC
48'
Nathaniel Edwards · Assist: Sergio Camargo
Cavalry FC
VAR
59'
A. Reid
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
59'
Nathaniel Edwards
Cavalry FC
🔄
60'
A. Reid ↔ Liam MacKenzie
HFX Wanderers FC
64'
Tobias Warschewski · Assist: Adam Pearlman
Cavalry FC
🔄
68'
Harrison Paton ↔ Michael Baldisimo
Cavalry FC
🔄
68'
Lucas Olguin ↔ Nelson Pierre
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
68'
Miguel Arilla Guinot ↔ S. Zitman
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
72'
Adam Pearlman ↔ Curtis Ofori
Cavalry FC
75'
Sergio Camargo
Cavalry FC
🔄
79'
Jason Bahamboula ↔ Tavio Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
79'
Lorenzo Callegari ↔ Andre Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
VAR
84'
I. Johnston
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
87'
Nathaniel Edwards ↔ Maël Henry
Cavalry FC
🔄
87'
B. Kamdem ↔ Kacper Plocinski
Cavalry FC
87'
I. Johnston
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
90+5'
I. Johnston
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
90+5'
Curtis Ofori
Cavalry FC

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.75
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.8%
1.75
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.74
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.48
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 31.9%
Draw 16.3%
Cavalry FC Win 51.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC1.03
Cavalry FC1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
28 GF / 34 GA
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WLDWL
37 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
0.58
13
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
9
2.1
Shots on Goal
2.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 21 matches
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 19 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic Cavalry FC
5 Wins 13
6 Draws 4
10 Losses 2
28 Goals For 37
34 Goals Against 11
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 0.58
13 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 3
2.1 Shots On Goal 2.42
5.55 Total Shots 6.84
2.5 Corners 2.68
26.8% Ball Possession 23.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cavalry FC's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cavalry FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HFX Wanderers FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cavalry FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cavalry FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cavalry FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 43 points while HFX Wanderers FC sit 6 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Cavalry FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC sit 6 with 20 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 25:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 43 points after 19 matches. With 13 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 37:11, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Elva (1 goals), G. Ntignee (1 goals), S. Camargo (1 goals), with creative support from C. Elva (1 assists), G. Ntignee (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 2 times, Cavalry FC won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3 / Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 2, draws 6, Cavalry FC wins 7

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 5 2 42:13 29 50
D W W W W
2 22 14 4 4 34:16 18 46
D W D L W
3 23 10 4 9 34:39 -5 34
L L D W L
4 23 9 4 10 31:29 2 31
D L W L L
5 23 7 5 11 35:38 -3 26
W W L L W
6 22 7 4 11 31:38 -7 25
W L L W D
7 21 5 8 8 30:46 -16 23
L W D D L
8 22 1 8 13 26:44 -18 11
D L D D W