SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
--.--.---- --:--
Olympia
Referee: Jacob Stausgaard Kobberrod, Denmark
Helsingborg
Match Timeline
IFK Varnamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
2'
D. Bergqvist ↔ H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
15'
M. Antonsson · Assist: S. Ohlsson
IFK Varnamo
30'
V. Claesson · Assist: H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
46'
D. N'Diaye ↔ A. Akimey
Helsingborg
🔄
59'
H. Andersson ↔ L. Robertsson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
63'
A. Johansson ↔ K. Appiah Nyarko
Helsingborg
🔄
63'
T. Rupil ↔ M. Svensson
Helsingborg
🔄
74'
L. Persson ↔ J. Hasselqvist
Helsingborg
🔄
74'
C. Johansson ↔ E. Freij
IFK Varnamo
🟨
80'
K. Appiah Nyarko
Helsingborg
🔄
90'
C. Biten ↔ L. Hedenberg
Helsingborg
90+3'
L. Kjellnas · Assist: A. Akimey
Helsingborg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds 2.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.53
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
2.53
BTTS Yes
75%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.63
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Helsingborg Win 55.5%
Draw 23.9%
IFK Varnamo Win 20.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Helsingborg1.84
IFK Varnamo1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Helsingborg Helsingborg
WWDLW
43 GF / 43 GA
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WLDWL
34 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
16
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
15
1.12
Shots on Goal
1.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Helsingborg Helsingborg 24 matches
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 25 matches
Helsingborg Statistic IFK Varnamo
11 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
9 Losses 14
43 Goals For 34
43 Goals Against 48
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
16 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 10
1.12 Shots On Goal 1.82
0.59 Total Shots 3.06
0.94 Corners 2.24
10.6% Ball Possession 28.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Helsingborg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 24 points compared to IFK Varnamo in 15 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. IFK Varnamo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IFK Varnamo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Helsingborg expected to line up in 4-4-2 and IFK Varnamo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IFK Varnamo having the stronger overall control.

Helsingborg Analysis

So far, Helsingborg have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 17 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 30:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 14 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 20:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Helsingborg won 2 times, IFK Varnamo won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:21 from Helsingborg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.4%)
Predicted formations: Helsingborg 4-4-2 / IFK Varnamo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Helsingborg wins 2, draws 1, IFK Varnamo wins 8

Lineups

Helsingborg
Formation
IFK Varnamo
Emil Rådahl
Emil Rådahl
Clancy Valère Biten
Clancy Valère Biten
Lino Hyppanen
Lino Hyppanen
Demba N'Diaye
Demba N'Diaye
Simon Bengtsson
Simon Bengtsson
Timothé Rupil
Timothé Rupil
Lukas Kjellnas
Lukas Kjellnas
Ervin Gigović
Ervin Gigović
Lucas Landgren Persson
Lucas Landgren Persson
Julian Larsson
Julian Larsson
Alexander Johansson
Alexander Johansson
Hugo Keto
Hugo Keto
Motaraghebjafarpour Arash
Motaraghebjafarpour Arash
Johan Rapp
Johan Rapp
Douglas Bergqvist
Douglas Bergqvist
Samuel Ohlsson
🎯
Samuel Ohlsson
Hugo Andersson Mella
🎯
Hugo Andersson Mella
Carl Johansson
Carl Johansson
Viktor Claesson
Viktor Claesson
Axel Björnström
Axel Björnström
Kai Meriluoto
Kai Meriluoto
Marcus Antonsson
Marcus Antonsson
Helsingborg 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
Emil Rådahl
G
58
Clancy Valère Biten
↓ 90'
D
42
Lino Hyppanen
D
27
Demba N'Diaye
↓ 46'
D
5
Simon Bengtsson
D
22
Timothé Rupil
↓ 63'
M
14
Lukas Kjellnas
⚽ 90+3'
M
8
Ervin Gigović
M
19
Lucas Landgren Persson
↓ 74'
M
21
Julian Larsson
F
9
Alexander Johansson
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
11
Adam Akimey
🎯 90+3' ↑ 46'
M
10
Max Svensson
↑ 63'
M
29
Kevin Appiah Nyarko
↑ 63' 🟨 80'
F
36
Jonathan Hasselqvist
↑ 74'
F
20
Leo Hedenberg
↑ 90'
M
1
Johan Brattberg
G
26
Loret Sadiku
M
IFK Varnamo 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Hugo Keto
G
18
Motaraghebjafarpour Arash
M
2
Johan Rapp
D
5
Douglas Bergqvist
↓ 2'
D
4
Samuel Ohlsson
🎯 15'
D
8
Hugo Andersson Mella
🎯 30' ↓ 59'
M
7
Carl Johansson
↓ 74'
M
10
Viktor Claesson
⚽ 30'
M
3
Axel Björnström
D
9
Kai Meriluoto
F
14
Marcus Antonsson
⚽ 15'
F
Substitutes
6
Hugo Andersson
↑ 2'
D
23
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson
↑ 59'
M
19
Erik Freij
↑ 74'
D
39
Blażej Sapielak
G
13
Sigge Jansson
D
21
Ishaq Abdulrazak
M
16
Antonio Kujundzic
M
33
Musa Akinfenwa
F
34
Benjamin Zulovic
F
Last matches: Helsingborg
01.08.26
Sup
Helsingborg
IFK Norrkoping
0
2
L
28.07.26
Sup
Helsingborg
United Nordic
1
1
D
21.07.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Falkenbergs FF
3
2
W
14.07.26
Fri
Helsingborg
AB Copenhagen
0
2
L
28.06.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Sandviken
2
4
L
21.06.26
Sup
Helsingborg
GIF Sundsvall
5
2
W
16.06.26
Sup
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
0
W
11.06.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Landskrona BoIS
0
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
IFK Norrkoping
0
2
L
26.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Orebro SK
2
1
W
19.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
3
L
13.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Oddevold
2
2
D
09.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Norrby IF
3
3
D
03.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
IK brage
2
0
W
24.04.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
1
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Ostersunds FK
2
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Helsingborg
United Nordic
1
3
L
03.04.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Osters IF
4
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Helsingborg
Oddevold
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Helsingborg
Falkenbergs FF
1
2
L
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
03.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
3
1
W
25.07.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
0
0
D
19.07.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
2
3
L
13.07.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Naestved
0
2
L
28.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
5
L
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
14.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall
3
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrkoping
0
6
L
28.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Kalmar FF
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
3
L
H2H: Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo
16.06.26
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
W
22.03.25
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
3
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
0
1
L
05.09.22
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
3
2
L
21.05.22
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
4
L
06.11.21
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
3
1
L
22.07.21
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
2
3
L
04.11.18
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
1
0
L
24.06.18
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
0
W
16.10.17
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
2
L
26.06.17
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
1
1
D
Last matches: Helsingborg
28.07.26
Sup
Helsingborg
United Nordic
1
1
D
21.06.26
Sup
Helsingborg
GIF Sundsvall
5
2
W
11.06.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Landskrona BoIS
0
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
IFK Norrkoping
0
2
L
19.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
3
L
13.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Oddevold
2
2
D
03.05.26
Sup
Helsingborg
IK brage
2
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Ostersunds FK
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
Helsingborg
Osters IF
4
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Helsingborg
Oddevold
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Helsingborg
Falkenbergs FF
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Helsingborg
Hillerød
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
Helsingborg
Rosengård
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Helsingborg
Angelholms FF
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Helsingborg
Eskilsminne
4
2
W
H2H at home: Helsingborg
25.02.24
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
0
1
L
21.05.22
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
4
L
22.07.21
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
2
3
L
24.06.18
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
0
W
16.10.17
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
2
L
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
03.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
3
1
W
28.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
5
L
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrkoping
0
6
L
14.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Trelleborg
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Karpaty
1
1
D
H2H away: IFK Varnamo
25.02.24
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
0
1
W
21.05.22
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
4
W
22.07.21
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
2
3
W
24.06.18
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
0
L
16.10.17
H2H
Helsingborg
IFK Varnamo
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 3.69
Home 2.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.18
Draw 2.43
Home 3.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 2.75 1.79
Over 3.0 2.05
Over 3.25 2.33
Over 3.5 2.61
Over 4.5 4.70
Under 1.5 4.83
Under 2.25 2.75
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 2.75 2.05
Under 3.0 1.81
Under 3.25 1.62
Under 3.5 1.51
Under 4.5 1.19
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.40
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.38
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.62
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.56
Home 2.23
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.52
Draw 2.22
Home 2.74
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.12
Draw 2.64
Home 2.49
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 1.75 1.18
Over 2.0 1.23
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 1.94
Over 3.25 2.18
Over 3.5 2.43
Over 3.75 2.88
Over 4.0 3.70
Over 4.25 4.05
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 4.75 5.50
Over 5.0 7.80
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 1.0 9.20
Under 1.25 6.24
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 1.75 4.00
Under 2.0 3.54
Under 2.25 2.69
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.73
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.55
Home 2.23
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.38
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.70
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 2.75 1.78
Over 3.0 2.04
Over 3.25 2.30
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 3.75 3.05
Over 4.0 3.90
Over 4.25 4.20
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 4.75 5.50
Over 5.0 7.50
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.0 3.25
Under 2.25 2.48
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.66
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.10
Under 5.0 1.05