SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
11.08.2026 17:00
Olympia
Referee: Jacob Stausgaard Kobberrod, Denmark
Helsingborg
Match Timeline
IFK Varnamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
2'
D. Bergqvist ↔ H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
15'
M. Antonsson · Assist: S. Ohlsson
IFK Varnamo
30'
V. Claesson · Assist: H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
46'
D. N'Diaye ↔ A. Akimey
Helsingborg
🔄
59'
H. Andersson ↔ L. Robertsson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
63'
T. Rupil ↔ M. Svensson
Helsingborg
🔄
63'
A. Johansson ↔ K. Appiah Nyarko
Helsingborg
🔄
74'
L. Persson ↔ J. Hasselqvist
Helsingborg
🔄
74'
C. Johansson ↔ E. Freij
IFK Varnamo
🟨
80'
Kevin Appiah Nyarko
Helsingborg
🔄
90'
C. Biten ↔ L. Hedenberg
Helsingborg
90'
L. Kjellnas · Assist: A. Akimey
Helsingborg

Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Helsingborg Win 55.5%
Draw 23.9%
IFK Varnamo Win 20.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Helsingborg1.84
IFK Varnamo1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Helsingborg Helsingborg
WWDLW
43 GF / 43 GA
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WLDWL
34 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
16
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
15
1.12
Shots on Goal
1.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Helsingborg Helsingborg 24 matches
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 25 matches
Helsingborg Statistic IFK Varnamo
11 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
9 Losses 14
43 Goals For 34
43 Goals Against 48
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
16 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 10
1.12 Shots On Goal 1.82
0.59 Total Shots 3.06
0.94 Corners 2.24
10.6% Ball Possession 28.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Helsingborg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 24 points compared to IFK Varnamo in 15 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. IFK Varnamo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IFK Varnamo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Helsingborg expected to line up in 4-4-2 and IFK Varnamo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IFK Varnamo having the stronger overall control.

Helsingborg Analysis

So far, Helsingborg have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 17 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 30:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 14 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 20:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Helsingborg won 2 times, IFK Varnamo won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Helsingborg's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.4%)
Predicted formations: Helsingborg 4-4-2 / IFK Varnamo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Helsingborg wins 2, draws 1, IFK Varnamo wins 9

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 2 4 41:13 28 47
W W W W W
2 21 11 5 5 41:30 11 38
W L W D L
3 21 11 4 6 38:27 11 37
W L D L W
4 21 9 8 4 30:23 7 35
D D D W W
5 21 10 3 8 32:30 2 33
D W W L L
6 21 8 8 5 32:30 2 32
L W D D D
7 21 8 7 6 27:22 5 31
D D D W L
8 21 7 8 6 34:31 3 29
L W D W D
9 21 7 6 8 34:31 3 27
D D L W W
10 21 7 5 9 34:41 -7 26
D L D L L
11 21 6 6 9 27:28 -1 24
L D L L D
12 21 4 11 6 25:28 -3 23
L D L W D
13 21 6 4 11 25:38 -13 22
W D D W W
14 21 5 6 10 35:42 -7 21
L L D L W
15 21 4 8 9 21:33 -12 20
D W D L L
16 21 4 1 16 15:44 -29 13
W L D L L
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