ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
Referee: S. Sozza
Hellas Verona
Match Timeline
AS Roma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Nicolás Valentini
Hellas Verona
🟨
45+1'
Sandi Lovrić
Hellas Verona
🔄
46'
D. Ghilardi ↔ J. Ziolkowski
AS Roma
🔄
46'
N. Pisilli ↔ N. El Aynaoui
AS Roma
🟨
50'
Nicolás Valentini
Hellas Verona
🟥
50'
Nicolás Valentini
Hellas Verona
VAR
54'
Jan Ziółkowski
AS Roma
56'
D. Malen · Assist: P. Dybala
AS Roma
🔄
58'
T. Suslov ↔ A. Bella-Kotchap
Hellas Verona
🔄
58'
S. Lovric ↔ Al Musrati
Hellas Verona
🔄
70'
M. Frese ↔ D. Bradaric
Hellas Verona
🔄
70'
A. Harroui ↔ A. Sarr
Hellas Verona
🟨
71'
Jan Ziółkowski
AS Roma
🔄
72'
M. Soule ↔ S. El Shaarawy
AS Roma
🔄
73'
↔ M. Kone
AS Roma
🔄
84'
D. Malen ↔ R. Vaz
AS Roma
🔄
86'
R. Belghali ↔ I. Vermesan
Hellas Verona
90'
S. El Shaarawy · Assist: P. Dybala
AS Roma

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hellas Verona Win 4%
Draw 0%
AS Roma Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hellas Verona0.78
AS Roma1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
WWDLW
26 GF / 60 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
76 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
19
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
20
3.56
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 39 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 48 matches
Hellas Verona Statistic AS Roma
3 Wins 27
14 Draws 6
22 Losses 15
26 Goals For 76
60 Goals Against 45
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
19 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 34
19 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 20
20 Failed To Score 8
3.56 Shots On Goal 4.69
10.9 Total Shots 13.33
3.82 Corners 5.17
39.2% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AS Roma's more proactive style and Hellas Verona's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AS Roma. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hellas Verona expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and AS Roma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AS Roma having the stronger overall control. AS Roma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 70 points while Hellas Verona sit 19 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. AS Roma look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Hellas Verona Analysis

Hellas Verona approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 21 points from 37 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 12 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 25:59, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Orban (7 goals), Kieron Bowie (4 goals), Giovane (3 goals), with creative support from Giovane (5 assists), G. Orban (2 assists), A. Sarr (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AS Roma Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 70 points from 37 games, AS Roma bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 22 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 57:31, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Malen (13 goals), M. Soule (6 goals), Wesley Franca (5 goals), with creative support from M. Soule (5 assists), N. Pisilli (4 assists), P. Dybala (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Bove unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hellas Verona won 4 times, AS Roma won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Hellas Verona's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Hellas Verona 3-5-1-1 / AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Hellas Verona 6, AS Roma 6
H2H summary: Hellas Verona wins 4, draws 1, AS Roma wins 10
Stats
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
AS Roma AS Roma
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 14
4 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
272 Total passes 580
205 Passes accurate 510
0.84 expected_goals 3.39
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Hellas Verona
Formation
AS Roma
L. Montipo
L. Montipo
V. Nelsson
V. Nelsson
A. Edmundsson
A. Edmundsson
N. Valentini
N. Valentini
R. Belghali
R. Belghali
J. Akpa Akpro
J. Akpa Akpro
S. Lovric
S. Lovric
A. Harroui
A. Harroui
M. Frese
M. Frese
T. Suslov
T. Suslov
K. Bowie
K. Bowie
M. Svilar
M. Svilar
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D. Ghilardi
D. Ghilardi
M. Hermoso
M. Hermoso
Z. Celik
Z. Celik
B. Cristante
B. Cristante
N. Pisilli
N. Pisilli
D. Rensch
D. Rensch
M. Soule
M. Soule
P. Dybala
🎯
P. Dybala
D. Malen
D. Malen
Hellas Verona 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
L. Montipo
G
15
V. Nelsson
D
5
A. Edmundsson
D
6
N. Valentini
🟨 35' 🟨 50' 🟥 50'
D
7
R. Belghali
↓ 86'
M
11
J. Akpa Akpro
M
4
S. Lovric
↓ 58' 🟨 45+1'
M
21
A. Harroui
↓ 70'
M
3
M. Frese
↓ 70'
M
10
T. Suslov
↓ 58'
F
18
K. Bowie
F
Substitutes
34
S. Perilli
G
94
G. Toniolo
G
24
A. Bernede
M
37
A. Bella-Kotchap
↑ 58'
D
19
T. Slotsager
D
41
Isaac
F
73
Al Musrati
↑ 58'
M
14
P. Lirola
D
12
D. Bradaric
↑ 70'
D
36
C. Niasse
M
9
A. Sarr
↑ 70'
F
30
L. Szimionas
M
90
I. Vermesan
↑ 86'
F
72
J. Ajayi
F
70
F. Cham
D
AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
99
M. Svilar
G
23
G. Mancini
D
87
D. Ghilardi
↓ 46'
D
22
M. Hermoso
D
19
Z. Celik
M
4
B. Cristante
M
61
N. Pisilli
↓ 46'
M
2
D. Rensch
M
18
M. Soule
↓ 72'
F
21
P. Dybala
🎯 56' 🎯 90'
F
14
D. Malen
⚽ 56' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
70
G. De Marzi
G
95
P. Gollini
G
91
R. Zelezny
G
92
S. El Shaarawy
⚽ 90' ↑ 72'
F
24
J. Ziolkowski
↑ 46' 🟨 71'
D
78
R. Vaz
↑ 84'
F
3
Angelino
D
9
A. Dovbyk
F
17
M. Kone
↑ 73'
M
8
N. El Aynaoui
↑ 46'
M
74
M. Seck
D
20
L. Venturino
F
Last matches: Hellas Verona
02.08.26
Fri
Hellas Verona
Lecco
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Hellas Verona
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Hellas Verona
Virtus Verona
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Hellas Verona
Rovereto
8
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Inter
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Como
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Juventus
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Lecce
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Torino
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Genoa
0
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Bologna
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Napoli
1
2
L
20.02.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Parma
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Pisa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
0
4
L
26.01.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Udinese
1
3
L
Last matches: AS Roma
08.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Brighton
0
3
L
04.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Newport County
4
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Cardiff
1
4
L
26.07.26
Fri
AS Roma
Cannes
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lazio
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Parma
3
2
W
04.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Fiorentina
4
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Bologna
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Atalanta
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Pisa
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Inter
2
5
L
22.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lecce
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
3
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Como
1
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Genoa
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Juventus
3
3
D
22.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Cremonese
3
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Napoli
2
2
D
09.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Cagliari
2
0
W
H2H: Hellas Verona vs AS Roma
24.05.26
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
0
2
L
28.09.25
H2H
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
1
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
2
W
20.01.24
H2H
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
2
1
L
26.08.23
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
2
1
W
19.02.23
H2H
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
1
0
L
31.10.22
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
1
3
L
19.02.22
H2H
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
2
2
D
19.09.21
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
2
W
31.01.21
H2H
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
3
1
L
19.09.20
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
0
W
15.07.20
H2H
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
2
1
L
01.12.19
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
1
3
L
04.02.18
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
0
1
L
Last matches: Hellas Verona
02.08.26
Fri
Hellas Verona
Lecco
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Hellas Verona
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Hellas Verona
Virtus Verona
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Hellas Verona
Rovereto
8
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Como
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Lecce
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Genoa
0
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Napoli
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Pisa
0
0
D
26.01.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Udinese
1
3
L
15.01.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Bologna
2
3
L
11.01.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Lazio
0
1
L
04.01.26
Ser
Hellas Verona
Torino
0
3
L
06.12.25
Ser
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
3
1
W
23.11.25
Ser
Hellas Verona
Parma
1
2
L
02.11.25
Ser
Hellas Verona
Inter
1
2
L
26.10.25
Ser
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
2
2
D
03.10.25
Ser
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
0
1
L
H2H at home: Hellas Verona
24.05.26
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
0
2
L
03.11.24
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
2
W
26.08.23
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
2
1
W
31.10.22
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
1
3
L
19.09.21
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
2
W
19.09.20
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.12.19
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
1
3
L
04.02.18
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
0
1
L
Last matches: AS Roma
08.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Brighton
0
3
L
04.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Newport County
4
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Cardiff
1
4
L
26.07.26
Fri
AS Roma
Cannes
3
3
D
10.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Parma
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Bologna
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Inter
2
5
L
15.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Como
1
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Genoa
1
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Napoli
2
2
D
02.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Udinese
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
AS Roma
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
Torino
2
0
W
06.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lecce
2
0
W
03.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
Atalanta
0
1
L
20.12.25
Ser
AS Roma
Juventus
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
AS Roma
Celtic
3
0
W
07.12.25
Ser
AS Roma
Cagliari
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ser
AS Roma
Cremonese
3
1
W
H2H away: AS Roma
24.05.26
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
0
2
W
03.11.24
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
2
L
26.08.23
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
2
1
L
31.10.22
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
1
3
W
19.09.21
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
2
L
19.09.20
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
3
0
L
01.12.19
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
1
3
W
04.02.18
H2H
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
0
1
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Hellas Verona 6 missing
-
D. Oyegoke
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
R. Gagliardini
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
J. Peci
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
S. Serdar
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Mosquera
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
G. Orban
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
AS Roma 6 missing
-
E. Ndicka
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
K. Tsimikas
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
-
Wesley Franca
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
L. Pellegrini
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
E. Ferguson
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
B. Zaragoza
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT