Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
99.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
58.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
57.5%
|
- |
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hellas Verona
34 matches
AC Milan
36 matches
| Hellas Verona | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 20 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 20 | Losses | 7 |
| 24 | Goals For | 52 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.62 | Shots On Goal | 4.53 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 14.14 |
| 3.85 | Corners | 4.89 |
| 39.7% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AC Milan's more proactive style and Hellas Verona's more cautious structure. Hellas Verona appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward AC Milan. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. AC Milan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 63 points while Hellas Verona sit 19 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AC Milan.
Hellas Verona sit 19 with 18 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 23:55, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through G. Orban (7 goals), Giovane (3 goals), Martin Frese (3 goals), with creative support from Giovane (5 assists), G. Orban (2 assists), A. Sarr (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Bella-Kotchap, S. Lovric, S. Serdar unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
AC Milan sit 3 with 63 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats with a 47:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Leao (9 goals), C. Pulisic (8 goals), A. Rabiot (5 goals), with creative support from A. Rabiot (4 assists), C. Pulisic (3 assists), C. Nkunku (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hellas Verona won 0 times, AC Milan won 13 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:31 from Hellas Verona's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Hellas Verona
2
3
4
1
7
2
Lineups
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
Inter
Hellas Verona
Como
Hellas Verona
Juventus
Hellas Verona
Lecce
Hellas Verona
Torino
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Bologna
Hellas Verona
Napoli
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
Parma
Hellas Verona
Pisa
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Udinese
Hellas Verona
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
Bologna
Hellas Verona
Lazio
Hellas Verona
Napoli
AC Milan
Cagliari
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Atalanta
AC Milan
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Juventus
AC Milan
Udinese
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Torino
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Cremonese
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Pisa
AC Milan
Bologna
AC Milan
AS Roma
AC Milan
Lecce
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Genoa
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
Como
Hellas Verona
Lecce
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Napoli
Hellas Verona
Pisa
Hellas Verona
Udinese
Hellas Verona
Bologna
Hellas Verona
Lazio
Hellas Verona
Torino
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Parma
Hellas Verona
Inter
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
Venezia
Hellas Verona
Juventus
Hellas Verona
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
Como
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
Cremonese
AC Milan
Pisa
AC Milan
Bologna
AC Milan
AS Roma
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Cagliari
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Torino
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Atalanta
AC Milan
Juventus
AC Milan
Udinese
AC Milan
Lecce
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Away
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
Hellas Verona
Home
|
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|