NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
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Abe Lenstra Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.89
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.7%
2.89
BTTS Yes
88%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
1.50
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
2.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Heerenveen Win 53.7%
Draw 8.8%
Twente Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen2.99
Twente2.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heerenveen Heerenveen
WWDLW
17 GF / 10 GA
Twente Twente
WLDWL
23 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
4.25
Average Goals Scored
2.3
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heerenveen Heerenveen 4 matches
Twente Twente 10 matches
Heerenveen Statistic Twente
3 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 2
17 Goals For 23
10 Goals Against 11
4.25 Avg Goals Scored 2.3
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
4 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 3.67
0 Total Shots 7
0 Corners 2.33
0% Ball Possession 21%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 2 times, Twente won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:33 from Heerenveen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Heerenveen - / Twente 4-3-3
H2H summary: Heerenveen wins 2, draws 5, Twente wins 8
Last matches: Heerenveen
01.08.26
Fri
Heerenveen
Volos NFC
3
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
OH Leuven
4
4
D
17.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
Club Brugge KV
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
De Graafschap
7
2
W
21.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Ajax
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Heracles
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Telstar
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
15.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
4
2
W
11.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
3
1
W
07.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Twente
0
5
L
01.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
1
1
D
Last matches: Twente
06.08.26
UEF
Twente
Dunajska Streda
6
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Twente
Genk
1
2
L
30.07.26
UEF
Twente
Ferencvarosi TC
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
Twente
Emmen
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Twente
Ferencvarosi TC
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Twente
Gent
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
PAOK
3
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
Sportfreunde Lotte
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Twente
Aberdeen
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
10.05.26
Ere
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
03.05.26
Ere
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fri
Twente
Ajax
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ere
Twente
FC Volendam
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ere
Twente
Ajax
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ere
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ere
Twente
Utrecht
0
2
L
08.03.26
Ere
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
01.03.26
Ere
Twente
Feyenoord
2
0
W
H2H: Heerenveen vs Twente
07.02.26
H2H
Twente
Heerenveen
5
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
1
2
L
09.02.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
3
3
D
17.09.24
H2H
Twente
Heerenveen
2
0
L
03.04.24
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
3
3
D
30.09.23
H2H
Twente
Heerenveen
1
0
L
04.06.23
H2H
Twente
Heerenveen
4
0
L
01.06.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
1
2
L
04.03.23
H2H
Twente
Heerenveen
3
3
D
18.09.22
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
2
1
W
15.01.22
H2H
Twente
Heerenveen
2
0
L
26.09.21
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
2
3
L
19.03.21
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
0
0
D
31.01.21
H2H
Twente
Heerenveen
0
0
D
29.02.20
H2H
Twente
Heerenveen
2
3
W
Last matches: Heerenveen
01.08.26
Fri
Heerenveen
Volos NFC
3
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
OH Leuven
4
4
D
03.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
De Graafschap
7
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Ajax
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Heracles
4
1
W
14.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Telstar
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
2
1
W
15.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
4
2
W
01.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Groningen
0
2
L
11.01.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
2
2
D
06.12.25
Ere
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
L
23.11.25
Ere
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
3
1
W
24.10.25
Ere
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
3
3
D
04.10.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
W
21.09.25
Ere
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
W
30.08.25
Ere
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
24.08.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Twente
1
2
L
09.08.25
Ere
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
1
1
D
H2H at home: Heerenveen
24.08.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
1
2
L
09.02.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
3
3
D
03.04.24
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
3
3
D
01.06.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
1
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
2
1
W
26.09.21
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
2
3
L
19.03.21
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
0
0
D
Last matches: Twente
02.08.26
Fri
Twente
Genk
1
2
L
30.07.26
UEF
Twente
Ferencvarosi TC
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
Twente
Emmen
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
PAOK
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ere
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Twente
Ajax
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Twente
Ajax
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ere
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ere
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
15.02.26
Ere
Twente
Telstar
1
1
D
30.01.26
Ere
Twente
NAC Breda
2
2
D
18.01.26
Ere
Twente
Heracles
2
0
W
21.12.25
Ere
Twente
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.12.25
Ere
Twente
Utrecht
1
1
D
22.11.25
Ere
Twente
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.11.25
Ere
Twente
Groningen
1
1
D
18.10.25
Ere
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
3
3
D
19.09.25
Ere
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
5
1
W
30.08.25
Ere
Twente
Excelsior
0
1
L
H2H away: Twente
24.08.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
1
2
W
09.02.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
3
3
D
03.04.24
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
3
3
D
01.06.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
1
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
2
1
L
26.09.21
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
2
3
W
19.03.21
H2H
Heerenveen
Twente
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.27
Draw 3.86
Home 2.89
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.76
Draw 2.57
Home 3.36
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 2.75 1.61
Over 3.0 1.77
Over 3.25 2.01
Over 3.5 2.23
Over 3.75 2.54
Over 4.5 3.69
Over 5.5 6.84
Under 1.5 5.63
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 2.75 2.36
Under 3.0 2.10
Under 3.25 1.85
Under 3.5 1.68
Under 3.75 1.53
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 3.80
Home 3.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.50
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.75
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.26
Draw 3.78
Home 2.98
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.67
Draw 2.33
Home 3.32
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 2.78
Home 2.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 1.75 1.11
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.28
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.69
Over 3.25 1.99
Over 3.5 2.22
Over 3.75 2.43
Over 4.0 2.95
Over 4.25 3.22
Over 4.5 3.54
Over 4.75 4.33
Over 5.0 5.85
Over 5.25 6.20
Over 5.5 6.55
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 18.00
Under 1.0 13.00
Under 1.5 5.35
Under 1.75 4.90
Under 2.0 4.40
Under 2.25 3.08
Under 2.5 2.51
Under 2.75 2.27
Under 3.0 2.01
Under 3.25 1.86
Under 3.5 1.69
Under 3.75 1.47
Under 4.0 1.33
Under 4.25 1.26
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 3.65
Home 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 2.48
Home 3.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 2.90
Home 2.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 2.75 1.58
Over 3.0 1.73
Over 3.25 1.96
Over 3.5 2.18
Over 3.75 2.50
Over 4.0 3.10
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Under 1.5 5.75
Under 2.5 2.63
Under 2.75 2.35
Under 3.0 2.08
Under 3.25 1.83
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 3.75 1.52
Under 4.0 1.37
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.01

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
6 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
16 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
17 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie