11.09.2026 18:45
Bridge Meadow Stadium
Referee: B. Markham-Jones
Haverfordwest County AFC
Match Timeline
Briton Ferry
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
49'
M. Bates
Briton Ferry
59'
C. Hurford
Briton Ferry
🔄
60'
L. Rees ↔ B. Ahmun
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
65'
J. Owen
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
65'
C. Hurford
Briton Ferry
🔄
68'
J. Hackett ↔ J. Wilson
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
68'
C. Hurford ↔ D. Packer
Briton Ferry
🔄
68'
T. Walters ↔ L. Herdman
Briton Ferry
🟨
70'
T. Price
Briton Ferry
70'
D. Hawkins
Haverfordwest County AFC
76'
C. Shephard
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
82'
L. Cooper ↔ T. Cadeau
Briton Ferry
🔄
83'
C. Shephard ↔ C. Twose
Haverfordwest County AFC
84'
R. Abbruzzese
Haverfordwest County AFC

Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.8%
1.28
BTTS No
50.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 3-0
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Haverfordwest County AFC Win 49.9%
Draw 22%
Briton Ferry Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haverfordwest County AFC1.6
Briton Ferry1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
WWDLW
14 GF / 18 GA
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
WLDWL
8 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
3
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 11 matches
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 10 matches
Haverfordwest County AFC Statistic Briton Ferry
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
6 Losses 6
14 Goals For 8
18 Goals Against 21
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
3 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Briton Ferry having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Briton Ferry. Briton Ferry carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 7 points while Haverfordwest County AFC sit 12 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Haverfordwest County AFC Analysis

With 3 points from 6 games and a place of 12, Haverfordwest County AFC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 2:12 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Briton Ferry Analysis

Briton Ferry approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 7 points from 6 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Haverfordwest County AFC won 8 times, Briton Ferry won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:11 from Haverfordwest County AFC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78%)
H2H summary: Haverfordwest County AFC wins 8, draws 0, Briton Ferry wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:7 12 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:12 -2 13
W L W L W
9 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
10 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)