NORWAY 1. DIVISION
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Haugesund Stadion
Referee: H. Sletner

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds 2.01
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
2.01
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.37
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Haugesund Win 56.8%
Draw 8.2%
Kongsvinger Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haugesund2.23
Kongsvinger2.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haugesund Haugesund
WWDLW
59 GF / 44 GA
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WLDWL
45 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.68
Average Goals Scored
2.25
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
15
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haugesund Haugesund 22 matches
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 20 matches
Haugesund Statistic Kongsvinger
11 Wins 12
4 Draws 5
7 Losses 3
59 Goals For 45
44 Goals Against 31
2.68 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
15 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 16
15 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kongsvinger having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kongsvinger. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Haugesund Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 25 points from 11 games, Haugesund bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 34:18, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Diarra (17 goals), E. V. Andersen (8 goals), L. Remmem (3 goals), with creative support from N. Sandberg (9 assists), I. Camara (3 assists), P. Hannola (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Kongsvinger approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 26 points after 11 outings. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:12, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Job (5 goals), L. Langrekken (5 goals), A. Dybevik (4 goals), with creative support from D. Job (3 assists), L. Langrekken (3 assists), A. Dybevik (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Haugesund won 0 times, Kongsvinger won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Haugesund's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
H2H summary: Haugesund wins 0, draws 0, Kongsvinger wins 1
Last matches: Haugesund
21.06.26
1.
Haugesund
Egersund
2
5
L
14.06.26
1.
Haugesund
Ranheim
4
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Raufoss
4
3
W
25.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Moss
3
1
W
20.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Strommen
7
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Asane
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Sogndal
1
5
L
01.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Haugesund
Stabaek
2
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Haugesund
hodd
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Haugesund
Stromsgodset
4
2
W
06.04.26
1.
Haugesund
Lyn
4
2
W
30.03.26
Fri
Haugesund
Sandnes ULF
2
2
D
25.03.26
Fri
Haugesund
Viking
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
Haugesund
Egersund
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Haugesund
Vidar
5
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Haugesund
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Haugesund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
17.02.26
Fri
Haugesund
Lillestrom
1
7
L
06.02.26
Fri
Haugesund
Sotra
2
2
D
Last matches: Kongsvinger
21.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
14.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
hodd
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
3
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
0
2
L
20.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb
4
2
W
16.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Lyn
3
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Egersund
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
2
2
D
18.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Moss
2
1
W
13.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
3
1
W
07.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Hammarby FF
3
3
D
21.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
3
2
W
18.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Grorud
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
24.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Lillestrom
4
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
H2H: Haugesund vs Kongsvinger
21.02.26
H2H
Haugesund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
Last matches: Haugesund
14.06.26
1.
Haugesund
Ranheim
4
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Moss
3
1
W
16.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Asane
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Haugesund
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Haugesund
Stromsgodset
4
2
W
21.03.26
Fri
Haugesund
Egersund
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Haugesund
Vidar
5
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Haugesund
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Haugesund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
Haugesund
Sotra
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Haugesund
Bjarg
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Haugesund
Vard
8
1
W
H2H at home: Haugesund
21.02.26
H2H
Haugesund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
Last matches: Kongsvinger
14.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
hodd
2
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
0
2
L
16.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Lyn
3
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
1
1
D
25.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
2
2
D
13.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
3
1
W
29.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Hammarby FF
3
3
D
21.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
3
2
W
24.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Lillestrom
4
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
H2H away: Kongsvinger
21.02.26
H2H
Haugesund
Kongsvinger
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.19
Draw 3.96
Home 2.01
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.52
Draw 2.69
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.37
Over 3.0 1.53
Over 3.25 1.71
Over 3.5 1.89
Over 3.75 2.10
Over 4.0 2.43
Over 4.5 2.93
Over 5.5 5.01
Under 1.5 6.54
Under 2.5 3.00
Under 3.0 2.45
Under 3.25 2.11
Under 3.5 1.89
Under 3.75 1.71
Under 4.0 1.55
Under 4.5 1.38
Under 5.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 4.00
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.62
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.00
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 5.00
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 34.00
Over 9.5 51.00
Under 0.5 26.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.10
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.16
Draw 3.88
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.49
Draw 2.46
Home 2.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.21
Draw 2.93
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.06
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.09
Over 2.25 1.23
Over 2.5 1.32
Over 2.75 1.41
Over 3.0 1.48
Over 3.25 1.70
Over 3.5 1.88
Over 3.75 2.04
Over 4.0 2.33
Over 4.25 2.57
Over 4.5 2.78
Over 4.75 3.30
Over 5.0 4.15
Over 5.25 4.45
Over 5.5 4.70
Over 6.0 7.60
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 34.00
Over 9.5 50.00
Under 0.5 18.00
Under 1.0 13.00
Under 1.5 6.05
Under 1.75 5.73
Under 2.0 5.25
Under 2.25 3.62
Under 2.5 2.88
Under 2.75 2.70
Under 3.0 2.38
Under 3.25 2.10
Under 3.5 1.88
Under 3.75 1.70
Under 4.0 1.50
Under 4.25 1.42
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 4.75 1.26
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.0 1.03
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.80
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.65
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 3.00
Home 2.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.0 1.11
Over 2.25 1.22
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 2.75 1.38
Over 3.0 1.48
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.86
Over 3.75 2.06
Over 4.0 2.40
Over 4.25 2.70
Over 4.5 2.95
Over 4.75 3.45
Over 5.0 4.40
Over 5.25 4.70
Over 5.5 5.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.0 5.30
Under 2.25 3.70
Under 2.5 3.00
Under 2.75 2.70
Under 3.0 2.40
Under 3.25 2.02
Under 3.5 1.82
Under 3.75 1.65
Under 4.0 1.48
Under 4.25 1.38
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.13

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 36:16 20 27
D W W W D
2 12 8 3 1 29:16 13 27
D W W L W
3 12 8 1 3 36:23 13 25
L W W W W
4 12 7 2 3 24:14 10 23
D L W W L
5 12 6 3 3 25:14 11 21
L W D W D
6 12 6 2 4 32:26 6 20
W L D W L
7 12 5 2 5 21:26 -5 17
L W D L D
8 12 5 1 6 18:19 -1 16
W W L W L
9 12 5 1 6 19:21 -2 16
W L L L D
10 12 5 1 6 18:20 -2 16
W W W L L
11 12 4 3 5 14:15 -1 15
D L L W L
12 12 3 3 6 20:29 -9 12
L L W L D
13 12 3 1 8 16:28 -12 10
W L L L W
14 12 3 1 8 10:24 -14 10
L L L W D
15 12 3 1 8 15:24 -9 9
L W L W W
16 12 2 2 8 15:33 -18 8
W L D L L
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation