17.09.2026 00:30
Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
Blooming
Live Timeline
Universitario de Vinto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Marc Enoumba
Blooming

Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.6%
Odds 1.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.6%
1.56
BTTS Yes
71%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.39
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.48
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Blooming Win 86.6%
Draw 6.7%
Universitario de Vinto Win 6.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blooming1.84
Universitario de Vinto1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blooming Blooming
WWDLW
39 GF / 24 GA
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto
WLDWL
35 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
13
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
14
3.37
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blooming Blooming 23 matches
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 23 matches
Blooming Statistic Universitario de Vinto
9 Wins 6
8 Draws 3
6 Losses 14
39 Goals For 35
24 Goals Against 47
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
13 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 6
3.37 Shots On Goal 4.21
8.58 Total Shots 10.89
2.47 Corners 3.58
29.3% Ball Possession 34.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Blooming's more proactive style and Universitario de Vinto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universitario de Vinto. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Blooming expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universitario de Vinto in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario de Vinto having the stronger overall control. Universitario de Vinto arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Blooming Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Blooming have collected 23 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 23:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Moisés Villarroel (2 goals), B. Garcés (2 goals), Miguel Villarroel (1 goals), with creative support from Auli Oliveros (2 assists), Matheo Ocampo (1 assists), R. Hinojosa (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Universitario de Vinto Analysis

Universitario de Vinto approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 18 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 22:37, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Torrico (1 goals), J. Calicho (1 goals), A. Jara (1 goals), with creative support from J. Torrico (2 assists), Hugo Dorrego (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blooming won 6 times, Universitario de Vinto won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Blooming's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Blooming 4-2-3-1 / Universitario de Vinto 4-4-2
H2H summary: Blooming wins 6, draws 4, Universitario de Vinto wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 50:20 30 42
W W W W W
2 19 12 6 1 43:13 30 42
W W D D D
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 19 7 9 3 30:24 6 30
W W D D L
6 19 8 3 8 34:27 7 27
L L D W W
7 19 8 3 8 30:24 6 27
W W L W W
8 19 6 8 5 29:21 8 26
W L D D W
9 19 7 5 7 29:38 -9 26
L D L D W
10 19 7 4 8 26:32 -6 25
L L W L W
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 19 5 2 12 25:38 -13 17
W L W L L
14 19 5 2 12 18:39 -21 17
L L L L L
15 19 4 4 11 15:37 -22 16
L L W D W
16 19 2 8 9 19:33 -14 14
L L D D L