MOROCCO BOTOLA PRO
05.07.2026 17:00
Stade Adrar
Referee: M. Kechchaf
Hassania Agadir
Match Timeline
Kawkab Marrakech
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
H. Ahadad · Assist: A. Ait Brayim
Hassania Agadir
🟨
21'
M. Elabdi
Kawkab Marrakech
26'
S. Cisse · Assist: K. Tamrani
Kawkab Marrakech
🔄
28'
H. Smaali ↔ R. Mennioui
Kawkab Marrakech
🟨
31'
I. Hrila
Hassania Agadir
🟨
45'
S. Anrar
Kawkab Marrakech
🔄
46'
J. Tachtach ↔ M. Katiba
Hassania Agadir
🔄
46'
A. El Hamdaoui ↔ H. Fassoukh
Kawkab Marrakech
🔄
46'
S. Anrar ↔ A. Habib Rabi
Kawkab Marrakech
🟨
65'
J. Omurwa
Kawkab Marrakech
🔄
72'
K. Tamrani ↔ H. Founti
Kawkab Marrakech
🟨
73'
A. Habib Rabi
Kawkab Marrakech
🔄
75'
H. Ahadad ↔ Y. Arbidi
Hassania Agadir
🔄
75'
M. Ounajem ↔ M. Bakhkhach
Hassania Agadir
🔄
79'
S. Cisse ↔ N. Lougmani
Kawkab Marrakech
🟨
81'
M. Bakhkhach
Hassania Agadir
🔄
84'
A. Ait Brayim ↔ O. Boudfiri
Hassania Agadir
🔄
84'
A. Qassaq ↔ Z. Ami
Hassania Agadir

Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hassania Agadir Win 59%
Draw 15.5%
Kawkab Marrakech Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hassania Agadir0.88
Kawkab Marrakech1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir
WWDLW
26 GF / 38 GA
Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech
WLDWL
26 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
13
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
9
0.24
Shots on Goal
0.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 29 matches
Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech 29 matches
Hassania Agadir Statistic Kawkab Marrakech
8 Wins 8
8 Draws 11
13 Losses 10
26 Goals For 26
38 Goals Against 25
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
13 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 12
0.24 Shots On Goal 0.1
0.38 Total Shots 0.17
0.14 Corners 0.1
2.6% Ball Possession 2.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Kawkab Marrakech's more proactive style and Hassania Agadir's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kawkab Marrakech. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kawkab Marrakech having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Hassania Agadir Analysis

Hassania Agadir are currently 12 in the standings with 32 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 26:38 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kawkab Marrakech Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Kawkab Marrakech have collected 35 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 26:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Hassania Agadir won 4 times, Kawkab Marrakech won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Hassania Agadir's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
H2H summary: Hassania Agadir wins 4, draws 5, Kawkab Marrakech wins 2

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation