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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
24.10.2026 14:00
Victoria Park

Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hartlepool Win 22.6%
Draw 30.8%
AFC Hornchurch Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hartlepool1.17
AFC Hornchurch1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hartlepool Hartlepool
WWDLW
22 GF / 29 GA
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
WLDWL
35 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
8
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
14
5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hartlepool Hartlepool 19 matches
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 22 matches
Hartlepool Statistic AFC Hornchurch
8 Wins 13
0 Draws 2
11 Losses 7
22 Goals For 35
29 Goals Against 26
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 6
5 Shots On Goal 0
18 Total Shots 0
6 Corners 0
50% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AFC Hornchurch. AFC Hornchurch carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 21 points while Hartlepool sit 20 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Hornchurch having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Hartlepool have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hartlepool Analysis

Hartlepool approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 12 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 12:19, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Hornchurch Analysis

So far, AFC Hornchurch have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 21 points from 13 matches. The record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 15:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.4%)

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation