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24.10.2026 11:30
Exercise Stadium

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Harrogate Town Win 76%
Draw 4.1%
Sutton Utd Win 19.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Harrogate Town1.73
Sutton Utd1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
WWDLW
39 GF / 23 GA
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
WLDWL
28 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
14
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 19 matches
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 21 matches
Harrogate Town Statistic Sutton Utd
13 Wins 10
3 Draws 5
3 Losses 6
39 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 26
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
14 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 5
3 Shots On Goal 1
12 Total Shots 7
6 Corners 7
55% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Harrogate Town's more proactive style and Sutton Utd's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Harrogate Town come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sutton Utd. Harrogate Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 28 points compared to Sutton Utd in 13 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sutton Utd having the stronger overall control.

Harrogate Town Analysis

Harrogate Town come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 28 points after 13 matches. The return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 29:17, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Sutton Utd Analysis

So far, Sutton Utd have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 18 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 14:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Harrogate Town won 2 times, Sutton Utd won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:17 from Harrogate Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
H2H summary: Harrogate Town wins 2, draws 2, Sutton Utd wins 7

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation