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ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
24.10.2026 17:00
HaMoshava Stadium

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hapoel Petah Tikva Win 34.1%
Draw 4.1%
Beitar Jerusalem Win 61.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hapoel Petah Tikva0.97
Beitar Jerusalem1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva
WWDLW
9 GF / 15 GA
Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
9
1.86
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 12 matches
Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 13 matches
Hapoel Petah Tikva Statistic Beitar Jerusalem
3 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 4
9 Goals For 20
15 Goals Against 17
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
5 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 9
0 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 2
1.86 Shots On Goal 4.4
8.29 Total Shots 12.9
4.14 Corners 4
45.1% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Beitar Jerusalem's more proactive style and Hapoel Petah Tikva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hapoel Petah Tikva expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Beitar Jerusalem in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beitar Jerusalem having the stronger overall control. Beitar Jerusalem look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Beitar Jerusalem. Beitar Jerusalem carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while Hapoel Petah Tikva sit 11 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Hapoel Petah Tikva Analysis

Hapoel Petah Tikva approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 4 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Gontran (1 goals), R. David (1 goals), with creative support from S. Israeli (1 assists), Clé (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Beitar Jerusalem Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 12 points from 6 games, Beitar Jerusalem bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:9, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Atzili (3 goals), E. Ansah (3 goals), B. Enow (2 goals), with creative support from T. Yosefi (4 assists), Y. Shua (3 assists), O. Atzili (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Petah Tikva won 1 times, Beitar Jerusalem won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Hapoel Petah Tikva's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Hapoel Petah Tikva 4-2-3-1 / Beitar Jerusalem 4-3-3
H2H summary: Hapoel Petah Tikva wins 1, draws 2, Beitar Jerusalem wins 4

Standings

Ligat Al
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 18:9 9 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 18:6 12 16
D W W W W
3 7 5 1 1 15:5 10 16
W W W L W
4 6 4 1 1 10:7 3 13
W W W L D
5 6 4 0 2 11:9 2 12
W W W W L
6 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
W D L L D
7 7 2 3 2 9:9 0 9
L W L W D
8 7 2 2 3 5:6 -1 8
W D W L L
9 6 2 1 3 13:16 -3 7
L W D W L
10 7 2 0 5 10:15 -5 6
L L L L L
11 7 2 0 5 6:13 -7 6
W L L W L
12 7 1 1 5 3:11 -8 4
L D L L L
13 7 1 0 6 6:15 -9 3
L L L L L
14 7 2 1 4 7:11 -4 1
L L L D W
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