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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
24.10.2026 12:00
Ostseestadion

Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hansa Rostock Win 45.8%
Draw 20.8%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hansa Rostock1.56
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
WWDLW
34 GF / 30 GA
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
WLDWL
41 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
2.41
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
10
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
11
3.9
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 18 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 17 matches
Hansa Rostock Statistic Fortuna Düsseldorf
8 Wins 10
4 Draws 2
6 Losses 5
34 Goals For 41
30 Goals Against 18
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 2.41
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
10 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
3.9 Shots On Goal 2.6
11.4 Total Shots 9.8
4.6 Corners 3.4
40.9% Ball Possession 38.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Fortuna Düsseldorf. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hansa Rostock expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fortuna Düsseldorf in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortuna Düsseldorf having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Hansa Rostock Analysis

Placed 4 with 15 points from 9 outings, Hansa Rostock continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 6 with 14 points after 9 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 10:10 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Müller (1 goals), E. Hottmann (1 goals), with creative support from A. Slimani (1 assists), L. Bornschein (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Hansa Rostock won 2 times, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:23 from Hansa Rostock's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: Hansa Rostock 4-2-3-1 / Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-3-3
H2H summary: Hansa Rostock wins 2, draws 0, Fortuna Düsseldorf wins 7

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 27:12 15 25
D W W W W
2 10 6 2 2 27:14 13 20
D D W W W
3 10 5 3 2 18:13 5 18
L W D D W
4 10 5 2 3 24:17 7 17
W L D W D
5 10 5 1 4 20:15 5 16
W L L W W
6 10 4 3 3 17:19 -2 15
L L W D W
7 10 4 2 4 17:18 -1 14
W W D D L
8 10 4 2 4 15:16 -1 14
W L L W L
9 10 4 2 4 13:15 -2 14
W W L L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
L W D L W
11 10 4 1 5 16:16 0 13
L L W W L
12 10 3 3 4 18:21 -3 12
L L D L D
13 10 3 3 4 12:15 -3 12
D W W L W
14 10 3 3 4 15:19 -4 12
L D D W D
15 10 3 3 4 12:18 -6 12
W D L L D
16 10 3 2 5 15:19 -4 11
W D L L W
17 10 3 2 5 12:17 -5 11
D W D L L
18 10 2 4 4 20:19 1 10
D D W D L
19 10 2 4 4 8:11 -3 10
L L D W L
20 10 1 3 6 13:23 -10 6
D D L L L
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation