Hamburger SV
Match Timeline
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
75.7%
|
2.48 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.90 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.22 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
7.50 |
Probability Distribution
Hamburger SV Win 20.9%
Draw 3.4%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 75.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamburger SV1.23
FSV Mainz 053.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hamburger SV
WWDLW
10 GF / 11 GA
FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL
38 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
4.22
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
7
3
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hamburger SV
6 matches
FSV Mainz 05
9 matches
| Hamburger SV | Statistic | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 0 |
| 10 | Goals For | 38 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 4.22 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.56 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 8 | Total Shots | 21 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hamburger SV won 5 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Hamburger SV's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1 / FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
Missing players: Hamburger SV 3, FSV Mainz 05 5
H2H summary: Hamburger SV wins 5, draws 5, FSV Mainz 05 wins 5
Standings
Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 10 |
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
FSV Mainz 05
Away
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Hamburger SV
Home
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | -11 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
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