SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
56.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Guédiawaye Win 72.2%
Draw 0%
AS Camberene Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guédiawaye1.05
AS Camberene0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guédiawaye Guédiawaye
WWDLW
23 GF / 26 GA
AS Camberene AS Camberene
WLDWL
12 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.52
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guédiawaye Guédiawaye 23 matches
AS Camberene AS Camberene 23 matches
Guédiawaye Statistic AS Camberene
6 Wins 2
6 Draws 11
11 Losses 10
23 Goals For 12
26 Goals Against 26
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.52
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
10 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AS Camberene having the stronger overall control. AS Camberene arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AS Camberene. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Guédiawaye Analysis

So far, Guédiawaye have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 22:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

AS Camberene Analysis

AS Camberene approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 17 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 12:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Guédiawaye won 1 times, AS Camberene won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Guédiawaye's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Guédiawaye wins 1, draws 1, AS Camberene wins 0
Last matches: Guédiawaye
04.06.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
1
L
22.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
2
3
L
13.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Jaraaf
1
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Pikine
1
3
L
26.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Sonacos
3
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Génération Foot
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
La Linguère
3
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Gorée
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
DSC
3
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
0
1
L
Last matches: AS Camberene
04.06.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
0
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Teungueth
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
30.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Wally Daan
1
2
L
25.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
AJEL
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Ouakam
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
HLM
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
DSC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Casa Sport
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
1
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
1
2
L
13.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
0
1
L
07.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
3
L
H2H: Guédiawaye vs AS Camberene
25.04.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
0
0
D
28.12.25
H2H
AS Camberene
Guédiawaye
0
2
W
Last matches: Guédiawaye
04.06.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
1
L
17.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
2
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
29.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Pikine
1
3
L
17.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Génération Foot
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Gorée
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
DSC
3
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
07.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
0
1
L
21.12.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
2
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Jaraaf
1
2
L
30.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Sonacos
1
2
L
16.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
La Linguère
0
0
D
H2H at home: Guédiawaye
25.04.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
0
0
D
Last matches: AS Camberene
22.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
2
1
W
13.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
0
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
25.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
AJEL
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
HLM
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
DSC
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
1
1
D
02.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
13.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
0
1
L
07.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
3
L
20.12.25
Lig
AS Camberene
Teungueth
0
1
L
07.12.25
Lig
AS Camberene
Wally Daan
0
1
L
23.11.25
Lig
AS Camberene
Ouakam
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
AS Camberene
Casa Sport
0
4
L
H2H away: AS Camberene
25.04.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation