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AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
19.09.2026 17:30
Stadion Graz-Liebenau
Referee: Arnes Talic, Austria
Grazer AK
Match Timeline
Austria Vienna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
A. Hofleitner · Assist: C. Cvetko
Grazer AK
🟨
16'
Reinhold Ranftl
Austria Vienna
⚽
45'
M. Fischer · Assist: K. Boateng
Austria Vienna
🟨
49'
Alexander Hofleitner
Grazer AK
⚽
55'
J. Italiano · Assist: C. Lichtenberger
Grazer AK
🟨
58'
Leon Klassen
Grazer AK
🔄
61'
K. Boateng ↔ J. Hettwer
Austria Vienna
🟨
64'
Yannick Oberleitner
Grazer AK
🔄
70'
L. Klassen ↔ M. Gragger
Grazer AK
🔄
70'
Lee Tae-Seok ↔ M. Schablas
Austria Vienna
🔄
70'
V. Markovic ↔ S. Saljic
Austria Vienna
🟨
72'
Johannes Handl
Austria Vienna
🔄
79'
J. Italiano ↔ P. Markovic
Grazer AK
🔄
79'
V. Muller ↔ F. Wustinger
Austria Vienna
🔄
79'
J. Handl ↔ Lee Kang-Hee
Austria Vienna
🟨
81'
Peter Michorl
Grazer AK
🔄
81'
C. Lichtenberger ↔ A. Smits
Grazer AK
⚽
81'
Lee Kang-Hee
Austria Vienna
🔄
83'
A. Hofleitner ↔ D. Maderner
Grazer AK
🟨
87'
Florian Wustinger
Austria Vienna
🟨
90+3'
Michael Sollbauer
Grazer AK

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
53.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Grazer AK Win 32%
Draw 20.4%
Austria Vienna Win 47.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grazer AK1.32
Austria Vienna1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grazer AK Grazer AK
WWDLW
27 GF / 31 GA
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
WLDWL
44 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
7
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
3.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grazer AK Grazer AK 19 matches
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 22 matches
Grazer AK Statistic Austria Vienna
8 Wins 11
4 Draws 4
7 Losses 7
27 Goals For 44
31 Goals Against 26
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
7 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 3.42
12.5 Total Shots 9.5
4.17 Corners 3.92
47.8% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Austria Vienna. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Grazer AK expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Austria Vienna in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austria Vienna having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Grazer AK Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 10, Grazer AK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 2:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Donovan Pines (1 goals), Alexander Hofleitner (1 goals), with creative support from Peter Michorl (1 assists), Christian Lichtenberger (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Austria Vienna Analysis

Austria Vienna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 3 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 3:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Fischer (1 goals), J. Hettwer (1 goals), Daniel Nnodim (1 goals), with creative support from M. Fischer (1 assists), Lee Tae-Seok (1 assists), F. Wustinger (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Grazer AK won 1 times, Austria Vienna won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Grazer AK's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: Grazer AK 3-1-4-2 / Austria Vienna 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Grazer AK wins 1, draws 1, Austria Vienna wins 4

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 23:7 16 21
W W W L W
2 8 5 3 0 18:4 14 18
D W D W W
3 8 5 1 2 19:9 10 16
L D L W W
4 8 4 2 2 10:9 1 14
W L W L D
5 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L W
6 8 3 2 3 14:16 -2 11
W D D W W
7 8 2 3 3 6:16 -10 9
D D W D L
8 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L W L L D
9 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L L D W W
10 8 2 1 5 7:15 -8 7
L D W L L
11 8 2 0 6 8:12 -4 6
W L L L L
12 8 1 2 5 7:16 -9 5
L L L L D
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)