ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Referee: Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina
Gimnasia L.P.
Match Timeline
River Plate
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. Arambarri ↔ Fausto Vera
River Plate
🟨
56'
Lucas Silva
River Plate
🔄
61'
L. Beltran ↔ R. Borre
River Plate
🔄
61'
M. Acuna ↔ F. Gonzalez
River Plate
🔄
65'
M. Seoane ↔ A. Max
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
65'
J. Merlo ↔ M. Zalazar
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
71'
A. Correa ↔ F. Colidio
River Plate
🔄
75'
R. Giampaoli ↔ J. Cortazzo
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
79'
Nicolás Otamendi
River Plate
80'
A. Steimbach · Assist: M. Zalazar
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
82'
L. Silva ↔ L. Pereyra
River Plate
🔄
83'
N. Fernandez ↔ N. Schelotto
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
86'
Maximiliano Zalazar
Gimnasia L.P.

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.4%
Odds 2.20
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.10
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.60
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.4%
2.20
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.60
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.4%
1.35
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia L.P. Win 35.6%
Draw 15%
River Plate Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia L.P.1.19
River Plate1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
WWDLW
32 GF / 26 GA
River Plate River Plate
WLDWL
33 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
11
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
3.74
Shots on Goal
5.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 23 matches
River Plate River Plate 25 matches
Gimnasia L.P. Statistic River Plate
12 Wins 13
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 8
32 Goals For 33
26 Goals Against 22
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
11 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 6
3.74 Shots On Goal 5.52
10.84 Total Shots 16.57
3.95 Corners 5.62
46.1% Ball Possession 65.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights River Plate's more proactive style and Gimnasia L.P.'s more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring River Plate. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia L.P. expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and River Plate in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward River Plate having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Gimnasia L.P. come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Gimnasia L.P. Analysis

So far, Gimnasia L.P. have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 26 points from 16 matches. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:19 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Torres (7 goals), N. Schelotto (4 goals), A. Auzmendi (2 goals), with creative support from Alexis Steimbach (4 assists), A. Auzmendi (2 assists), Nacho Fernández (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

River Plate Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 29 points from 16 games, River Plate bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Colidio (5 goals), S. Driussi (5 goals), G. Montiel (4 goals), with creative support from F. Colidio (3 assists), J. Quintero (3 assists), A. Moreno (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia L.P. won 2 times, River Plate won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:29 from Gimnasia L.P.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2 / River Plate 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gimnasia L.P. wins 2, draws 3, River Plate wins 10
Stats
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate River Plate
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 8
11 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
26% Ball Possession 74%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
208 Total passes 616
126 Passes accurate 540
2.01 expected_goals 0.30
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gimnasia L.P.
Formation
River Plate
N. Insfran
N. Insfran
B. Barros Schelotto
B. Barros Schelotto
R. Giampaoli
R. Giampaoli
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
P. Silva Torrejon
P. Silva Torrejon
A. Steimbach
A. Steimbach
I. Miramon
I. Miramon
M. Seoane
M. Seoane
N. Fernandez
N. Fernandez
J. Merlo
J. Merlo
A. Auzmendi
A. Auzmendi
S. Beltran
S. Beltran
G. Montiel
G. Montiel
L. Martinez Quarta
L. Martinez Quarta
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
M. Acuna
M. Acuna
M. Arambarri
M. Arambarri
L. Silva
L. Silva
J. Freitas
J. Freitas
A. Correa
A. Correa
T. Galvan
T. Galvan
L. Beltran
L. Beltran
Gimnasia L.P. 4-5-1
Starting XI
23
N. Insfran
G
31
B. Barros Schelotto
D
4
R. Giampaoli
↓ 75'
D
21
E. Martinez
D
24
P. Silva Torrejon
D
25
A. Steimbach
⚽ 80'
M
5
I. Miramon
M
18
M. Seoane
↓ 65'
M
8
N. Fernandez
↓ 83'
M
11
J. Merlo
↓ 65'
M
29
A. Auzmendi
F
Substitutes
15
H. Castillo
G
16
A. Max
↑ 65'
M
9
M. Zalazar
🎯 80' ↑ 65' 🟨 86'
F
7
M. Panaro
F
26
F. Torres
F
10
N. Schelotto
↑ 83'
M
35
J. Cortazzo
↑ 75'
D
17
L. Janson
F
42
S. Villarreal
M
37
J. Langa
D
33
P. Aguiar
M
43
M. Ojeda
D
River Plate 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
S. Beltran
G
29
G. Montiel
D
28
L. Martinez Quarta
D
30
N. Otamendi
🟨 79'
D
21
M. Acuna
↓ 61'
D
8
M. Arambarri
↓ 46'
M
44
L. Silva
↓ 82' 🟨 56'
M
35
J. Freitas
M
10
A. Correa
↓ 71'
M
26
T. Galvan
M
18
L. Beltran
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
33
E. Centurion
G
20
G. Gonzalez
D
11
F. Colidio
↑ 71'
F
36
U. Gimenez
D
24
J. Meza
M
19
R. Borre
↑ 61'
F
15
Fausto Vera
↑ 46'
M
13
L. Rivero
D
31
F. Gonzalez
↑ 61'
D
25
L. Pereyra
↑ 82'
M
Last matches: Gimnasia L.P.
02.08.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Aldosivi
2
1
W
24.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Racing Club
1
2
L
07.07.26
Fri
Gimnasia L.P.
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
05.07.26
Fri
Gimnasia L.P.
Zenit
1
1
D
14.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
0
2
L
11.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Argentinos JRS
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Belgrano Cordoba
1
0
W
22.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia L.P.
Acassuso
3
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
10.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia L.P.
Deportivo Camioneros
4
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Huracan
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
11.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Banfield
2
1
W
02.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Tigre
2
2
D
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Rosario Central
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
Last matches: River Plate
02.08.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
1
L
25.07.26
Lig
River Plate
Barracas Central
0
1
L
18.07.26
Cop
River Plate
Aldosivi
1
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
River Plate
Flamengo
2
2
D
24.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
14.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
River Plate
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Aldosivi
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Racing Club
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Huracan
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
26.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
18.02.26
Cop
River Plate
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
0
W
H2H: Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate
29.07.26
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
0
W
14.05.26
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
L
28.01.26
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
L
02.11.25
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
W
18.04.25
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
0
3
L
17.08.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
1
D
17.03.24
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
3
1
L
29.10.23
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
2
L
13.04.23
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
3
0
L
22.07.22
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
1
0
L
13.03.22
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
4
0
L
22.08.21
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
1
D
28.09.19
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
0
2
L
03.12.18
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
3
1
L
29.11.18
H2H
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
2
D
Last matches: Gimnasia L.P.
03.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Argentinos JRS
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1
0
W
10.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia L.P.
Deportivo Camioneros
4
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Huracan
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Rosario Central
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Aldosivi
3
1
W
24.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Racing Club
2
1
W
H2H at home: Gimnasia L.P.
29.07.26
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
0
W
18.04.25
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
0
3
L
17.08.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
2
L
22.08.21
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
1
D
28.09.19
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
0
2
L
Last matches: River Plate
03.07.26
Fri
River Plate
Flamengo
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Racing Club
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Huracan
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
13.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
02.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
River Plate
Barracas Central
1
0
W
H2H away: River Plate
29.07.26
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
0
L
18.04.25
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
0
3
W
17.08.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
2
W
22.08.21
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
1
D
28.09.19
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.90
Home 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 1.95
Home 4.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.10
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.60
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.15
Draw 3.06
Home 3.84
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.83
Draw 1.86
Home 4.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.47
Draw 2.18
Home 4.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.13
Over 1.25 1.35
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 1.75 1.68
Over 2.0 1.86
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.45
Over 2.75 2.92
Over 3.0 3.90
Over 3.25 4.30
Over 3.5 4.65
Over 3.75 5.90
Over 4.0 8.50
Over 4.5 9.10
Over 5.5 22.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 5.90
Under 0.75 5.43
Under 1.0 4.85
Under 1.25 3.20
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 1.75 2.18
Under 2.0 1.81
Under 2.25 1.57
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 2.75 1.31
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.15
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.07
Draw 3.10
Home 3.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 1.95
Home 4.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 2.28
Home 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.25 1.32
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.63
Over 2.0 1.87
Over 2.25 2.20
Over 2.5 2.55
Over 2.75 3.00
Over 3.0 4.00
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 10.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.25 3.25
Under 1.5 2.55
Under 1.75 2.20
Under 2.0 1.88
Under 2.25 1.64
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.36
Under 3.0 1.22
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 4.5 1.04

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W D L D W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L L L W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W W W L W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
D L L W W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W L L W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W L W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L D W L W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
W L D L D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L L L W L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D W L W D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
W D W D L
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L D D L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D L W L L
Knockout Phase