Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
49.4%
|
2.20 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
2.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.4%
|
1.35 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gimnasia L.P.
23 matches
River Plate
25 matches
| Gimnasia L.P. | Statistic | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 13 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 32 | Goals For | 33 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.74 | Shots On Goal | 5.52 |
| 10.84 | Total Shots | 16.57 |
| 3.95 | Corners | 5.62 |
| 46.1% | Ball Possession | 65.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights River Plate's more proactive style and Gimnasia L.P.'s more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring River Plate. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia L.P. expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and River Plate in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward River Plate having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Gimnasia L.P. come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
So far, Gimnasia L.P. have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 26 points from 16 matches. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:19 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Torres (7 goals), N. Schelotto (4 goals), A. Auzmendi (2 goals), with creative support from Alexis Steimbach (4 assists), A. Auzmendi (2 assists), Nacho Fernández (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 29 points from 16 games, River Plate bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Colidio (5 goals), S. Driussi (5 goals), G. Montiel (4 goals), with creative support from F. Colidio (3 assists), J. Quintero (3 assists), A. Moreno (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia L.P. won 2 times, River Plate won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:29 from Gimnasia L.P.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Gimnasia L.P.
3
3
9
5
2
2
Lineups
Gimnasia L.P.
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.
Racing Club
Gimnasia L.P.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Gimnasia L.P.
Zenit
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
Argentinos JRS
Gimnasia L.P.
Belgrano Cordoba
Gimnasia L.P.
Acassuso
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Gimnasia L.P.
Deportivo Camioneros
Gimnasia L.P.
Huracan
Gimnasia L.P.
Atletico Tucuman
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
Banfield
Gimnasia L.P.
Tigre
Gimnasia L.P.
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
River Plate
Rosario Central
River Plate
Barracas Central
River Plate
Aldosivi
River Plate
Flamengo
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
River Plate
Rosario Central
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
San Lorenzo
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
River Plate
Aldosivi
River Plate
Boca Juniors
River Plate
Racing Club
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate
Huracan
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Banfield
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
Ciudad de Bolívar
Gimnasia L.P.
Argentinos JRS
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Gimnasia L.P.
Deportivo Camioneros
Gimnasia L.P.
Huracan
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.
Racing Club
River Plate
Flamengo
River Plate
Racing Club
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
Huracan
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
River Plate
Rosario Central
River Plate
Barracas Central
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
River Plate
Away
|
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Gimnasia L.P.
Home
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
D
L
W
L
L
|