ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia L.P. Win 48.5%
Draw 12%
Barracas Central Win 39.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia L.P.1.17
Barracas Central1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
WWDLW
33 GF / 26 GA
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
11
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
7
3.7
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 24 matches
Barracas Central Barracas Central 20 matches
Gimnasia L.P. Statistic Barracas Central
13 Wins 8
3 Draws 7
8 Losses 5
33 Goals For 20
26 Goals Against 17
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
11 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 6
3.7 Shots On Goal 3.5
11 Total Shots 10
3.9 Corners 1.89
45.1% Ball Possession 38.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barracas Central. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia L.P. expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Barracas Central in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barracas Central having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Gimnasia L.P. Analysis

Gimnasia L.P. are currently 6 in the standings with 26 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 19:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcelo Torres (4 goals), Agustín Auzmendi (1 goals), Alexis Steimbach (1 goals), with creative support from Agustín Auzmendi (2 assists), Alexis Steimbach (2 assists), Nicolás Barros Schelotto (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barracas Central Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Barracas Central have collected 21 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 15:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rodrigo Insúa (1 goals), Tomás Porra (1 goals), Nicolás Demartini (1 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Insúa (1 assists), Tomás Porra (1 assists), Iván Tapia (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia L.P. won 5 times, Barracas Central won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Gimnasia L.P.'s perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia L.P. 4-5-1 / Barracas Central 5-3-2
H2H summary: Gimnasia L.P. wins 5, draws 1, Barracas Central wins 2
Last matches: Gimnasia L.P.
29.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
0
W
24.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Racing Club
1
2
L
07.07.26
Fri
Gimnasia L.P.
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
05.07.26
Fri
Gimnasia L.P.
Zenit
1
1
D
14.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
0
2
L
11.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Argentinos JRS
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Belgrano Cordoba
1
0
W
22.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia L.P.
Acassuso
3
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
10.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia L.P.
Deportivo Camioneros
4
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Huracan
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
11.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Banfield
2
1
W
02.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Tigre
2
2
D
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Rosario Central
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
Last matches: Barracas Central
29.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
1
0
W
25.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
River Plate
1
0
W
03.06.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Huracan
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Banfield
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
1
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Huracan
0
0
D
16.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
12.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
25.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Tigre
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Platense
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
06.02.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Temperley
2
2
D
01.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
Barracas Central
River Plate
0
1
L
H2H: Gimnasia L.P. vs Barracas Central
09.02.26
H2H
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
L
01.12.25
H2H
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
0
2
W
22.08.24
H2H
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
W
13.06.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
Barracas Central
2
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
Barracas Central
2
0
W
24.10.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
W
27.02.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
1
0
L
29.09.22
H2H
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
1
1
D
Last matches: Gimnasia L.P.
29.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Argentinos JRS
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1
0
W
10.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia L.P.
Deportivo Camioneros
4
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Huracan
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Rosario Central
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Aldosivi
3
1
W
24.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia L.P.
Racing Club
2
1
W
H2H at home: Gimnasia L.P.
13.06.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
Barracas Central
2
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
Barracas Central
2
0
W
Last matches: Barracas Central
25.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
River Plate
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
24.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Huracan
0
0
D
12.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Platense
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
2
L
28.01.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
0
0
D
13.05.19
Pri
Barracas Central
All Boys
1
2
L
29.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
San Miguel
1
1
D
20.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
CA Estudiantes
0
0
D
08.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Flandria
0
1
L
25.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
14.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Atlanta
1
1
D
02.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Talleres Remedios
0
0
D
17.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Colegiales
1
0
W
05.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Defensores Unidos
1
0
W
25.01.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Sacachispas
3
1
W
07.12.18
Pri
Barracas Central
Fénix
1
0
W
H2H away: Barracas Central
13.06.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
Barracas Central
2
1
L
09.03.24
H2H
Gimnasia L.P.
Barracas Central
2
0
L

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W D L D W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L L L W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W W W L W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
D L L W W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W L L W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W L W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L D W L W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
W L D L D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L L L W L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D W L W D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
W D W D L
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L D D L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D L W L L
Knockout Phase