09.08.2026 11:30
Planet Group Arena
Referee: Eric Lambrechts, Belgium
Gent
Match Timeline
KV Mechelen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
28'
G. Diouf ↔ K. Corbanie
KV Mechelen
37'
T. Araujo
Gent
45'
J. Vergara · Assist: M. Sonko
Gent
🔄
46'
C. Burgess ↔ M. Paskotsi
Gent
🔄
46'
B. Raman ↔ M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
KV Mechelen
🔄
71'
T. De Vlieger ↔ M. Delorge-Knieper
Gent
🔄
71'
A. Kadri ↔ H. Goore
Gent
🔄
76'
J. Marsa ↔ I. Struyf
KV Mechelen
🔄
77'
D. Praet ↔ M. Kireev
KV Mechelen
🔄
80'
J. Vergara ↔ I. Cisse
Gent
🟨
85'
Massimo Decoene
KV Mechelen
🔄
86'
B. Bafdili ↔ C. Van Meirvenne
KV Mechelen

Gent vs KV Mechelen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gent Win 40%
Draw 26%
KV Mechelen Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gent1.61
KV Mechelen1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gent Gent
WWDLW
19 GF / 8 GA
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
4
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
4
1.67
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gent Gent 9 matches
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 7 matches
Gent Statistic KV Mechelen
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
19 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 6
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
4 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
1.67 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
1 Corners 0
14.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gent won 9 times, KV Mechelen won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:14 from Gent's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)
Predicted formations: Gent 3-4-2-1 / KV Mechelen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gent wins 9, draws 4, KV Mechelen wins 2

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 21:3 18 19
W W W W W
2
Gent Home
7 6 1 0 13:4 9 19
W D W W W
3 7 6 0 1 15:7 8 18
W W L W W
4 6 5 0 1 12:3 9 15
W W L W W
5 7 4 1 2 7:5 2 13
W W D W L
6 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
L L W D W
7 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
8 6 3 0 3 7:10 -3 9
W W L L W
9 6 2 3 1 13:9 4 9
D D W D W
10 6 2 2 2 12:10 2 8
L W L W D
11 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
D L L W W
12 6 2 1 3 13:16 -3 7
W W D L L
13 7 2 1 4 11:15 -4 7
L L L L D
14 7 1 1 5 7:14 -7 4
L W L D L
15 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
W D L L L
16 7 0 3 4 8:14 -6 3
L D L L L
17 7 0 3 4 5:14 -9 3
D L L D L
18 6 0 0 6 1:15 -14 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League