Login Register
25.10.2026 12:30
Cegeka Arena
Referee: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
Genk
Match Timeline
Standard Liege
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
I. Karamoko
Standard Liege
⚽
27'
J. Ito
Genk
🟥
33'
M. Epolo
Standard Liege
🔄
36'
S. Drammeh ↔ L. Pirard
Standard Liege
🔄
46'
T. Mohr ↔ G. Mortensen
Standard Liege
🔄
46'
R. Fosso ↔ A. Zeqiri
Standard Liege
🔄
46'
I. Karamoko ↔ R. Touzghar
Standard Liege
🟨
58'
B. Heynen
Genk
🟨
62'
A. Trouillet
Standard Liege
🔄
64'
N. Adedeji-Sternberg ↔ A. Yokoyama
Genk
⚽
65'
A. Zeqiri · Assist: I. Hautekiet
Standard Liege
🔄
70'
B. Tahirovic ↔ A. Bibout
Genk
⚽
77'
A. Bibout
Genk
🔄
82'
D. Eckert ↔ B. Nsimba
Standard Liege
🔄
86'
R. Durosinmi ↔ I. Bangoura
Genk
🔄
86'
J. Ito ↔ J. Erenbjerg
Genk
🟥
90+5'
D. Heymans
Genk

Genk vs Standard Liege Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
1.78 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.67 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Genk Win 64.6%
Draw 11.1%
Standard Liege Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk1.7
Standard Liege1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genk Genk
W L L D D
5 GF / 6 GA
Standard Liege Standard Liege
L L L L W
4 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
12
BTTS Yes
7
16
Over 2.5
10
5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genk Genk 20 matches
Standard Liege Standard Liege 17 matches
Genk Statistic Standard Liege
9 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
8 Losses 7
38 Goals For 30
36 Goals Against 24
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
12 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 13
16 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
5 Shots On Goal 5
14 Total Shots 14.25
4 Corners 6.13
53.4% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Genk's more proactive style and Standard Liege's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Standard Liege arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Standard Liege. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Genk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Standard Liege in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Standard Liege having the stronger overall control.

Genk Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Genk have collected 12 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 16:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rafiu Durosinmi (5 goals), Josue Ndenge Kongolo (2 goals), Junya Ito (1 goals), with creative support from Jeppe Erenbjerg (3 assists), Junya Ito (2 assists), Daan Heymans (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Standard Liege Analysis

With 11 points from 8 games and a place of 9, Standard Liege still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 13:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Dennis Eckert Ayensa (4 goals), Adnane Abid (3 goals), Casper Nielsen (2 goals), with creative support from Casper Nielsen (3 assists), Adnane Abid (2 assists), Dennis Eckert Ayensa (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genk won 6 times, Standard Liege won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Genk's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Genk 4-2-3-1 / Standard Liege 4-3-3
H2H summary: Genk wins 6, draws 5, Standard Liege wins 4

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 19:4 15 25
W W W D W
2 9 8 0 1 22:6 16 24
W W W W W
3 9 7 2 0 27:6 21 23
W D W W W
4 9 7 0 2 16:10 6 21
L W W W L
5 9 5 1 3 9:10 -1 16
L W W W D
6
Genk Home
9 4 3 2 18:13 5 15
W W L D D
7 9 4 2 3 24:21 3 14
D W W W W
8 9 3 3 3 11:11 0 12
D W D L L
9 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
L L L L W
10 9 3 2 4 10:12 -2 11
L L L L W
11 9 3 1 5 15:20 -5 10
W L L L L
12 9 3 1 5 12:18 -6 10
D L L W W
13 9 2 2 5 17:19 -2 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 1 6 11:18 -7 7
W L L W L
15 8 1 3 4 9:17 -8 6
W D L L D
16 9 1 3 5 8:16 -8 6
D D W D L
17 8 1 0 7 2:18 -16 3
L W L L L
18 9 0 3 6 11:21 -10 3
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League