TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Eryaman Stadium
Referee: M. Turkmen
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Match Timeline
Kocaelispor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
32'
Sekou Koita
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
34'
M. Mimaroglu
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🟨
45+1'
Karol Linetty
Kocaelispor
🔄
46'
R. Rivas ↔ S. Dursun
Kocaelispor
🔄
46'
K. Linetty ↔ M. Susoho
Kocaelispor
🟨
57'
Ousmane Diabate
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
62'
T. Bingol ↔ D. Churlinov
Kocaelispor
🔄
68'
S. Koita ↔ M. Niang
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
68'
F. Tongya ↔ O. Ulgun
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
75'
D. Agyei ↔ F. Gedik
Kocaelispor
🔄
76'
S. Onur ↔ T. Dele-Bashiru
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
86'
M. Mimaroglu ↔ C. Canak
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
90'
J. Nonge ↔ A. Sagat
Kocaelispor

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
51.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
53%
-
Probability Distribution
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win 19.3%
Draw 5.3%
Kocaelispor Win 75.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1.03
Kocaelispor1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.
WWDLW
29 GF / 44 GA
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
WLDWL
25 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
16
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
9
3.23
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 30 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 30 matches
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Statistic Kocaelispor
6 Wins 9
7 Draws 9
17 Losses 12
29 Goals For 25
44 Goals Against 34
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
16 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 12
3.23 Shots On Goal 3.13
10.53 Total Shots 10.53
3.97 Corners 4.27
42.4% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gençlerbirliği S.K. expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kocaelispor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kocaelispor having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kocaelispor. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Gençlerbirliği S.K. have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Analysis

Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 17 with 25 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 28:42, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Sekou Koita (6 goals), M. Mimaroglu (4 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), with creative support from G. Gurpuz (5 assists), M. Mimaroglu (2 assists), M. Niang (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with P. Etebo, M. Kyabou, A. Sahindere, Z. Zuzek unavailable.

Kocaelispor Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Kocaelispor have collected 36 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 24:33 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Petkovic (7 goals), Serdar Dursun (6 goals), Tayfur Bingöl (5 goals), with creative support from D. Churlinov (3 assists), Tayfur Bingöl (2 assists), H. Keita (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Jovanovic, B. Balogh, M. Cinan, Show unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 4 times, Kocaelispor won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4-1-4-1 / Kocaelispor 4-3-3
Missing players: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 6, Kocaelispor 6
H2H summary: Gençlerbirliği S.K. wins 4, draws 2, Kocaelispor wins 2
Stats
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 2
14 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 3
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 0
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
3 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
256 Total passes 451
181 Passes accurate 374
1.00 expected_goals 0.66
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Formation
Kocaelispor
R. Velho
R. Velho
F. Uzum
F. Uzum
D. Goutas
D. Goutas
Thalisson Kelven
Thalisson Kelven
A. Dursun
A. Dursun
O. Diabate
O. Diabate
S. Onur
S. Onur
A. Traore
A. Traore
F. Tongya
F. Tongya
M. Mimaroglu
M. Mimaroglu
S. Koita
S. Koita
S. Oztasdelen
S. Oztasdelen
A. Oguz
A. Oguz
A. Dijksteel
A. Dijksteel
H. Smolcic
H. Smolcic
M. Haidara
M. Haidara
T. Bingol
T. Bingol
K. Linetty
K. Linetty
H. Keita
H. Keita
R. Rivas
R. Rivas
D. Agyei
D. Agyei
J. Nonge
J. Nonge
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
R. Velho
G
88
F. Uzum
D
6
D. Goutas
D
2
Thalisson Kelven
D
77
A. Dursun
D
42
O. Diabate
🟨 57'
M
8
S. Onur
↓ 76'
M
20
A. Traore
M
70
F. Tongya
↓ 68'
M
10
M. Mimaroglu
⚽ 34' ↓ 86'
M
22
S. Koita
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
18
E. Erenturk
G
29
M. Niang
↑ 68'
F
23
M. Hanousek
D
61
E. Kemaloglu
M
15
T. Dele-Bashiru
↑ 76'
M
99
C. Canak
↑ 86'
F
44
A. Celik
M
13
P. Pereira
D
35
O. Ulgun
↑ 68'
M
11
G. Gurpuz
M
Kocaelispor 4-3-3
Starting XI
83
S. Oztasdelen
G
22
A. Oguz
D
2
A. Dijksteel
D
6
H. Smolcic
D
21
M. Haidara
D
75
T. Bingol
↓ 62'
M
10
K. Linetty
↓ 46' 🟨 45+1'
M
8
H. Keita
M
99
R. Rivas
↓ 46'
F
7
D. Agyei
↓ 75'
F
98
J. Nonge
↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
35
G. Degirmenci
G
19
S. Dursun
↑ 46'
F
11
A. Sagat
↑ 90'
F
18
F. Gedik
↑ 75'
F
97
A. Ozyar
F
23
S. Yalcin
M
17
D. Churlinov
↑ 62'
F
20
M. Susoho
↑ 46'
M
94
E. Narin
M
16
D. Ceylan
D
Last matches: Gençlerbirliği S.K.
24.07.26
Fri
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kasımpaşa
0
3
L
17.05.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Trabzonspor
3
0
W
09.05.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kasımpaşa
3
2
W
03.05.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fatih Karagümrük
0
1
L
18.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Galatasaray
1
2
L
11.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
0
3
L
04.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Göztepe
0
2
L
19.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Konyaspor
0
1
L
15.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
0
2
L
09.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Alanyaspor
0
0
D
01.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kayserispor
0
0
D
21.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Eyüpspor
0
1
L
14.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Rizespor
2
2
D
09.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
1
3
L
01.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Gaziantep FK
2
1
W
25.01.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Antalyaspor
1
2
L
18.01.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Samsunspor
1
1
D
08.01.26
Fri
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Rizespor
2
1
W
22.12.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Trabzonspor
4
3
W
12.12.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kasımpaşa
0
0
D
Last matches: Kocaelispor
17.05.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Antalyaspor
0
1
L
09.05.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fatih Karagümrük
0
1
L
03.05.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
18.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Göztepe
1
1
D
12.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Galatasaray
1
1
D
06.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
0
0
D
18.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Alanyaspor
0
5
L
14.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
1
2
L
09.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
28.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Beşiktaş
0
1
L
20.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
0
2
L
15.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
3
0
W
09.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kayserispor
2
1
W
02.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fenerbahçe
0
2
L
24.01.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
0
0
D
18.01.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Trabzonspor
1
2
L
07.01.26
Fri
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
0
2
L
19.12.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Antalyaspor
2
1
W
14.12.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fatih Karagümrük
1
1
D
07.12.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
0
0
D
H2H: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor
26.04.26
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
28.11.25
H2H
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
0
L
20.01.25
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
10.08.24
H2H
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
1
L
15.03.24
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
2
0
W
28.10.23
H2H
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
2
D
20.03.22
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
24.10.21
H2H
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
2
W
Last matches: Gençlerbirliği S.K.
09.05.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kasımpaşa
3
2
W
18.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Galatasaray
1
2
L
04.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Göztepe
0
2
L
15.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
0
2
L
01.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kayserispor
0
0
D
14.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Rizespor
2
2
D
01.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Gaziantep FK
2
1
W
18.01.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Samsunspor
1
1
D
22.12.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Trabzonspor
4
3
W
07.12.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fatih Karagümrük
3
0
W
07.11.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
2
1
W
26.10.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Konyaspor
1
2
L
04.10.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Alanyaspor
2
2
D
20.09.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
31.08.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
1
3
L
17.08.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Antalyaspor
0
1
L
H2H at home: Gençlerbirliği S.K.
26.04.26
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
20.01.25
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
15.03.24
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
2
0
W
20.03.22
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
Last matches: Kocaelispor
17.05.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Antalyaspor
0
1
L
03.05.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
12.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Galatasaray
1
1
D
18.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Alanyaspor
0
5
L
09.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
20.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
0
2
L
09.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kayserispor
2
1
W
24.01.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
0
0
D
07.01.26
Fri
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
0
2
L
14.12.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fatih Karagümrük
1
1
D
23.11.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Göztepe
0
0
D
31.10.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
0
1
L
18.10.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
3
2
W
29.09.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Beşiktaş
1
3
L
14.09.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
0
2
L
23.08.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fenerbahçe
1
3
L
11.08.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Trabzonspor
0
1
L
H2H away: Kocaelispor
26.04.26
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
0
L
20.01.25
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
0
L
15.03.24
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
2
0
L
20.03.22
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
1
D

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation

Missing Players

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 6 missing
-
P. Etebo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Kyabou
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Sahindere
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
H. Onyekuru
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Z. Zuzek
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
S. Onur
Questionable Injury
OUT
Kocaelispor 6 missing
-
A. Jovanovic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Balogh
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
M. Cinan
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Show
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
B. Petkovic
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
M. Wieteska
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT