04.09.2026 18:45
Essity Stadium
Referee: R. Jenkins
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Match Timeline
Haverfordwest County AFC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
20'
J. Wilson ↔ J. Owen
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
29'
H. Franklin ↔ M. Woodcock
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🟨
39'
G. Walters
Haverfordwest County AFC
50'
J. Walker
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
62'
M. Stone ↔ A. Sharif
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
62'
R. Watson ↔ F. Redshaw
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
73'
F. Deane ↔ D. Stephenson
GAP Connah S Quay FC
73'
M. Woodcock
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
74'
J. Hodkin ↔ H. Mehasseb
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
76'
B. Ahmun ↔ L. Rees
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
77'
Haverfordwest County AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
80'
K. Kenniford
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
85'
L. Rees
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
90+3'
D. Hawkins ↔ H. Thomas
Haverfordwest County AFC

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.35
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.7%
1.35
BTTS Yes
66.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.66
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 54.7%
Draw 15.2%
Haverfordwest County AFC Win 30.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.88
Haverfordwest County AFC1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 8 GA
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
WLDWL
13 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.3
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
4
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 10 matches
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 10 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC Statistic Haverfordwest County AFC
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 0
3 Losses 6
20 Goals For 13
8 Goals Against 17
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
4 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 8 times, Haverfordwest County AFC won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:13 from GAP Connah S Quay FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
H2H summary: GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 8, draws 4, Haverfordwest County AFC wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:7 12 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:12 -2 13
W L W L W
9 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
10 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)