ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 14:00
Stadion Gandzasar

Gandzasar vs Ararat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.66
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.4%
1.60
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.66
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.88
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.95
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Gandzasar Win 31.6%
Draw 24.2%
Ararat Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gandzasar1.16
Ararat1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gandzasar Gandzasar
WWDLW
9 GF / 18 GA
Ararat Ararat
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gandzasar Gandzasar 10 matches
Ararat Ararat 13 matches
Gandzasar Statistic Ararat
1 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
9 Goals For 15
18 Goals Against 20
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ararat. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gandzasar Analysis

Gandzasar sit 9 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 8:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ararat Analysis

Ararat approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 3 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:12 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Gandzasar won 5 times, Ararat won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from Gandzasar's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.8%)
H2H summary: Gandzasar wins 5, draws 5, Ararat wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 14:7 7 16
W W L D W
3 6 4 2 0 13:5 8 14
W D W W W
4 6 4 1 1 14:2 12 13
W D W L W
5 6 3 1 2 10:5 5 10
W W L W L
6 6 3 1 2 12:10 2 10
L L W D W
7 6 2 2 2 9:7 2 8
L D W W L
8 7 2 1 4 7:9 -2 7
L W W L L
9 7 1 1 5 4:19 -15 4
W L L D L
10 6 1 0 5 8:15 -7 3
L L L L W
11 6 1 0 5 3:13 -10 3
L L L W L
12 7 0 2 5 3:16 -13 2
L D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League