IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Eamonn Deacy Park
Referee: R. Hennessey
Galway United
Match Timeline
St Patrick's Athl.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Matthew Wolfe
Galway United
13'
R. Edmondson · Assist: Z. Elbouzedi
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
38'
Joseph Anang
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
40'
Jamie Lennon
St Patrick's Athl.
54'
C. Forrester · Assist: Z. Elbouzedi
St Patrick's Athl.
61'
A. Bolger
Galway United
🔄
63'
M. Wolfe ↔ F. Lomboto
Galway United
🔄
63'
S. Walsh ↔ F. Pierrot
Galway United
🔄
63'
A. Kazeem ↔ A. Piesold
Galway United
🔄
64'
K. Twardek ↔ W. Williams
Galway United
🟨
66'
Ryan Edmondson
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
71'
Z. Elbouzedi ↔ A. Breslin
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
71'
C. Forrester ↔ D. Nugent
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
76'
R. Edmondson ↔ M. A. Mata
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
83'
C. Barratt ↔ L. Devitt
Galway United
🔄
90'
K. Leavy ↔ J. McClelland
St Patrick's Athl.
90'
A. Bolger · Assist: A. Piesold
Galway United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Galway United Win 33.8%
Draw 15.2%
St Patrick's Athl. Win 51%
Expected Goals (xG)
Galway United1.04
St Patrick's Athl.1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Galway United Galway United
WWDLW
18 GF / 26 GA
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
28 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Galway United Galway United 15 matches
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 15 matches
Galway United Statistic St Patrick's Athl.
5 Wins 9
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 3
18 Goals For 28
26 Goals Against 12
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 6
12.08 Total Shots 17.46
4.83 Corners 5.46
39.8% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Galway United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. St Patrick's Athl. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 26 points while Galway United sit 6 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St Patrick's Athl. in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St Patrick's Athl. having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward St Patrick's Athl..

Galway United Analysis

Galway United are currently 6 in the standings with 15 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Twardek (5 goals), D. Hurley (2 goals), F. Pierrot (2 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (3 assists), D. Hurley (3 assists), Stephen Walsh (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 26 points after 13 outings. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:11, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Edmondson (6 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), K. Leavy (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (2 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), J. McClelland (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 3 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Galway United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Galway United 4-2-3-1 / St Patrick's Athl. 4-4-2
H2H summary: Galway United wins 3, draws 4, St Patrick's Athl. wins 7
Stats
Galway United Galway United
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
403 Total passes 408
275 Passes accurate 274
0.63 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Galway United
Formation
St Patrick's Athl.
E. Watts
E. Watts
C. Barratt
C. Barratt
G. Facchineri
G. Facchineri
K. Brouder
K. Brouder
A. Kazeem
A. Kazeem
A. Bolger
⚽ 2
A. Bolger
M. Wolfe
M. Wolfe
K. Twardek
K. Twardek
D. Hurley
D. Hurley
E. McCarthy
E. McCarthy
S. Walsh
S. Walsh
J. Anang
J. Anang
J. Brown
J. Brown
J. Redmond
J. Redmond
T. Grivosti
T. Grivosti
L. Turner
L. Turner
K. Leavy
K. Leavy
C. Forrester
C. Forrester
J. Lennon
J. Lennon
B. Baggley
B. Baggley
Z. Elbouzedi
🎯
Z. Elbouzedi
R. Edmondson
R. Edmondson
Galway United 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Watts
G
3
C. Barratt
↓ 83'
D
12
G. Facchineri
D
5
K. Brouder
D
30
A. Kazeem
↓ 63'
D
8
A. Bolger
⚽ 61' ⚽ 90'
M
14
M. Wolfe
↓ 63' 🟨 4'
M
11
K. Twardek
↓ 64'
M
10
D. Hurley
M
24
E. McCarthy
M
7
S. Walsh
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
16
H. Cunha
G
22
C. McCormack
M
9
F. Lomboto
↑ 63'
F
20
L. Devitt
↑ 83'
M
15
W. Williams
↑ 64'
D
23
F. Pierrot
↑ 63'
4
J. Keohane
M
6
A. Piesold
🎯 90' ↑ 63'
M
29
N. Fleuriau Chateau
F
St Patrick's Athl. 4-5-1
Starting XI
94
J. Anang
🟨 38'
G
23
J. Brown
D
4
J. Redmond
D
5
T. Grivosti
D
24
L. Turner
D
10
K. Leavy
↓ 90'
M
8
C. Forrester
⚽ 54' ↓ 71'
M
6
J. Lennon
🟨 40'
M
19
B. Baggley
M
7
Z. Elbouzedi
🎯 13' 🎯 54' ↓ 71'
M
27
R. Edmondson
⚽ 13' ↓ 76' 🟨 66'
F
Substitutes
49
S. Molloy
G
2
S. Hoare
D
11
J. McClelland
↑ 90'
F
15
R. Boyce
D
35
S. Rooney
F
3
A. Breslin
↑ 71'
D
18
M. A. Mata
↑ 76'
F
16
D. Nugent
↑ 71'
M
42
G. Nzingo
M
Last matches: Galway United
11.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
03.07.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
13.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
H2H: Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl.
03.07.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
L
01.05.26
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
02.03.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
L
19.09.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
1
D
14.09.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
1
L
20.06.25
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
W
02.05.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
0
L
21.02.25
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
W
18.10.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
31.05.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
1
L
16.02.24
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
20.01.23
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
28.01.22
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
Last matches: Galway United
11.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
06.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
L
09.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Treaty United
2
0
W
H2H at home: Galway United
01.05.26
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
20.06.25
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
W
21.02.25
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
W
11.08.24
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
16.02.24
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
20.01.23
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
28.01.22
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
16.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Bray Wanderers
3
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
2
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
17.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
2
0
W
H2H away: St Patrick's Athl.
01.05.26
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
20.06.25
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
L
21.02.25
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
16.02.24
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
W
20.01.23
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
28.01.22
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1