Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.6%
|
2.07 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.78 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.8%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.20 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Galway United
Drogheda United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Galway United
28 matches
Drogheda United
29 matches
| Galway United | Statistic | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 8 | Draws | 11 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 36 | Goals For | 36 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.29 | Shots On Goal | 3.19 |
| 11.25 | Total Shots | 9.77 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 4 |
| 37.2% | Ball Possession | 38.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Drogheda United in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Drogheda United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Drogheda United.
From their first 24 matches, Galway United have collected 28 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 32:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Aaron Bolger (2 goals), Edward McCarthy (2 goals), Kristopher Twardek (1 goals), with creative support from Kristopher Twardek (3 assists), David Hurley (2 assists), Jimmy Keohane (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Drogheda United are currently 8 in the standings with 26 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 31:43 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mark Doyle (4 goals), Thomas Oluwa (2 goals), Shane Farell (2 goals), with creative support from Brandon Kavanagh (3 assists), Thomas Oluwa (1 assists), Conor Kane (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 4 times, Drogheda United won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Galway United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Shelbourne
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Drogheda United
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Drogheda United
Galway United
Treaty United
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Galway United
Home
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Away
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|