IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
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Eamonn Deacy Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.6%
2.07
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Galway United Win 55.6%
Draw 14.9%
Drogheda United Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Galway United1.41
Drogheda United1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Galway United Galway United
WWDLW
36 GF / 49 GA
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WLDWL
36 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
18
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
15
3.29
Shots on Goal
3.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Galway United Galway United 28 matches
Drogheda United Drogheda United 29 matches
Galway United Statistic Drogheda United
8 Wins 7
8 Draws 11
12 Losses 11
36 Goals For 36
49 Goals Against 46
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
18 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 6
3.29 Shots On Goal 3.19
11.25 Total Shots 9.77
4.42 Corners 4
37.2% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Drogheda United in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Drogheda United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Drogheda United.

Galway United Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Galway United have collected 28 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 32:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Aaron Bolger (2 goals), Edward McCarthy (2 goals), Kristopher Twardek (1 goals), with creative support from Kristopher Twardek (3 assists), David Hurley (2 assists), Jimmy Keohane (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Drogheda United Analysis

Drogheda United are currently 8 in the standings with 26 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 31:43 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mark Doyle (4 goals), Thomas Oluwa (2 goals), Shane Farell (2 goals), with creative support from Brandon Kavanagh (3 assists), Thomas Oluwa (1 assists), Conor Kane (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 4 times, Drogheda United won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Galway United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Galway United 3-5-2 / Drogheda United 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Galway United wins 4, draws 4, Drogheda United wins 7
Last matches: Galway United
02.08.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
03.07.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
13.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
0
1
L
Last matches: Drogheda United
31.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
10.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
2
1
W
03.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
4
3
W
17.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
H2H: Galway United vs Drogheda United
06.04.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
W
06.02.26
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
L
24.10.25
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
1
D
04.07.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Galway United
1
0
L
25.04.25
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
2
1
W
28.02.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Galway United
1
1
D
23.09.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Galway United
0
0
D
13.06.24
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
0
W
17.05.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
W
08.03.24
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
0
D
20.10.20
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
3
L
17.08.20
H2H
Drogheda United
Galway United
1
0
L
02.08.19
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
3
L
24.05.19
H2H
Drogheda United
Galway United
3
0
L
22.03.19
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
L
Last matches: Galway United
25.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
01.05.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
06.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
L
09.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Treaty United
2
0
W
H2H at home: Galway United
06.02.26
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
L
24.10.25
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
1
D
25.04.25
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
2
1
W
13.06.24
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
0
W
08.03.24
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
0
D
20.10.20
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
3
L
02.08.19
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
3
L
22.03.19
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
L
Last matches: Drogheda United
25.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
10.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
2
1
W
26.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
4
L
24.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
4
3
W
20.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
07.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
3
1
W
H2H away: Drogheda United
06.02.26
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
W
24.10.25
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
1
D
25.04.25
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
2
1
L
13.06.24
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
0
L
08.03.24
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
0
D
20.10.20
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
3
W
02.08.19
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
1
3
W
22.03.19
H2H
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.62
Draw 3.37
Home 2.07
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.15
Draw 2.33
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.25 1.56
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 2.75 2.00
Over 3.0 2.35
Over 3.25 2.67
Over 3.5 2.96
Over 4.5 5.65
Under 1.5 4.08
Under 2.25 2.41
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.83
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.47
Under 3.5 1.39
Under 4.5 1.14
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.40
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.30
Home 2.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.60
Home 2.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.40
Home 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.22
Draw 2.11
Home 2.61
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.57
Home 2.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.11
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 1.75 1.27
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.56
Over 2.5 1.76
Over 2.75 1.89
Over 3.0 2.18
Over 3.25 2.42
Over 3.5 2.68
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.50
Over 4.5 4.80
Over 5.0 8.10
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 9.10
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.10
Under 1.25 4.91
Under 1.5 3.62
Under 1.75 3.32
Under 2.0 2.95
Under 2.25 2.37
Under 2.5 2.03
Under 2.75 1.78
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.55
Home 1.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 2.28
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.63
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.86
Over 3.0 2.14
Over 3.25 2.43
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.50
Over 4.5 4.80
Over 4.75 6.00
Over 5.0 8.50
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.35
Under 2.5 2.02
Under 2.75 1.81
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.48
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 3.75 1.29
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.05

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 6 5 40:22 18 51
D W W D W
2 26 12 8 6 41:22 19 44
D D D W L
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
D W W W L
4 26 9 10 7 40:38 2 37
D D L L L
5 25 8 10 7 35:36 -1 34
L W D L D
6 26 6 12 8 33:32 1 30
D L W D L
7 25 7 8 10 33:40 -7 29
D D W L L
8 26 6 9 11 31:43 -12 27
D D W L L
9 26 5 10 11 34:47 -13 25
W D D W W
10 26 5 7 14 23:43 -20 22
D D L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation