BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Galvez
Match Timeline
Humaitá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
44'
G. Pereira
Humaitá
59'
L. Capixaba
Galvez
62'
Matheus Nego
Galvez
80'
L. Capixaba
Galvez
83'
L. Monteiro
Humaitá
90'
Daniego
Galvez

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Galvez Win 67.6%
Draw 24.3%
Humaitá Win 8.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Galvez2.37
Humaitá0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Galvez Galvez
WWDLW
7 GF / 11 GA
Humaitá Humaitá
WLDWL
2 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.33
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
4.17
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Galvez Galvez 6 matches
Humaitá Humaitá 6 matches
Galvez Statistic Humaitá
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
3 Losses 6
7 Goals For 2
11 Goals Against 25
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 4.17
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Humaitá arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Galvez arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 7 points compared to Humaitá in 6 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Humaitá. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Humaitá having the stronger overall control.

Galvez Analysis

Placed 4 with 7 points from 6 outings, Galvez continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Capixaba (4 goals), Daniego (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Humaitá Analysis

Humaitá approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 0 points from 6 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 2:25, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Galvez won 6 times, Humaitá won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from Galvez's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.9%)
H2H summary: Galvez wins 6, draws 4, Humaitá wins 5
Last matches: Galvez
14.06.26
Ser
Galvez
Araguaína
0
9
L
30.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Porto Velho
2
6
L
24.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Independência
1
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Guaporé
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Guaporé
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Humaitá
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Independência
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Porto Velho
0
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Araguaína
1
2
L
Last matches: Humaitá
14.06.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
0
13
L
31.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Guaporé
0
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
7
L
03.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
6
L
26.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Galvez
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Guaporé
1
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
1
5
L
27.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manaus FC
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
2
4
L
28.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
0
6
L
01.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
0
5
L
18.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
2
4
L
14.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
1
5
L
H2H: Galvez vs Humaitá
16.05.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
4
2
W
26.04.26
H2H
Humaitá
Galvez
0
1
W
21.03.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
1
W
14.02.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
0
1
L
02.02.25
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
2
D
21.04.24
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
2
D
02.04.24
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
0
4
L
16.04.23
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
1
1
D
13.04.22
H2H
Humaitá
Galvez
2
0
L
28.03.22
H2H
Humaitá
Galvez
1
1
D
26.09.21
H2H
Humaitá
Galvez
2
1
L
15.07.21
H2H
Humaitá
Galvez
2
1
L
21.02.20
H2H
Humaitá
Galvez
0
4
W
01.02.19
H2H
Humaitá
Galvez
0
4
W
24.01.18
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
3
1
W
Last matches: Galvez
30.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Porto Velho
2
6
L
03.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Guaporé
3
3
D
19.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Independência
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Araguaína
1
2
L
H2H at home: Galvez
16.05.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
4
2
W
21.03.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
1
W
14.02.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
0
1
L
02.02.25
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
2
D
21.04.24
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
2
D
02.04.24
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
0
4
L
16.04.23
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
1
1
D
24.01.18
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
3
1
W
Last matches: Humaitá
14.06.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
0
13
L
03.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
6
L
18.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Guaporé
1
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
3
L
27.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
0
6
L
24.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
0
5
L
14.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
1
5
L
26.04.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manaus FC
0
4
L
H2H away: Humaitá
16.05.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
4
2
L
21.03.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
1
L
14.02.26
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
0
1
W
02.02.25
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
2
D
21.04.24
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
2
2
D
02.04.24
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
0
4
W
16.04.23
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
1
1
D
24.01.18
H2H
Galvez
Humaitá
3
1
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)