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TURKEY › SüPER LIG
26.10.2026 18:30
Rams Park

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
66.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Galatasaray Win 43.1%
Draw 17.1%
Fenerbahçe Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Galatasaray1.5
Fenerbahçe2.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Galatasaray Galatasaray
WWDLW
31 GF / 32 GA
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WLDWL
44 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
2.2
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
10
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
11
6.7
Shots on Goal
6.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Galatasaray Galatasaray 16 matches
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 20 matches
Galatasaray Statistic Fenerbahçe
7 Wins 13
3 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
31 Goals For 44
32 Goals Against 17
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
10 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 2
6.7 Shots On Goal 6.44
19.4 Total Shots 16.13
6.5 Corners 5.88
57.2% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Galatasaray come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fenerbahçe. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Galatasaray Analysis

Galatasaray come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 19 points after 8 matches. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:11, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Victor Osimhen (6 goals), Gabriel Sara (2 goals), Abdülkerim Bardakcı (2 goals), with creative support from Victor Osimhen (3 assists), Gabriel Sara (2 assists), Lucas Torreira (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Fenerbahçe Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 16 points from 8 games, Fenerbahçe bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:6, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Vedat Muriqi (7 goals), Mason Greenwood (4 goals), İrfan Can Kahveci (2 goals), with creative support from İrfan Can Kahveci (3 assists), Oğuz Aydın (3 assists), Kerem Aktürkoğlu (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Galatasaray won 7 times, Fenerbahçe won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from Galatasaray's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Galatasaray 4-2-3-1 / Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Galatasaray wins 7, draws 4, Fenerbahçe wins 4

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 17:11 6 19
W W L W W
2 8 5 2 1 18:9 9 17
W D W W D
3 8 5 1 2 22:6 16 16
W W W D L
4 7 5 0 2 16:8 8 15
W L W W W
5 7 4 1 2 16:5 11 13
W W L W L
6 8 4 1 3 18:13 5 13
W W L W W
7 8 3 4 1 12:9 3 13
W L D W D
8 8 4 0 4 9:8 1 12
L L W L W
9 8 3 3 2 8:9 -1 12
L D W D W
10 8 3 2 3 12:12 0 11
W D W L L
11 8 3 2 3 5:11 -6 11
W D W L W
12 8 3 1 4 8:11 -3 10
L L D W L
13 8 2 3 3 17:16 1 9
W W D D L
14 8 2 2 4 8:12 -4 8
L L L D W
15 8 2 2 4 7:16 -9 8
L D L L L
16 8 1 2 5 4:9 -5 5
L D D W L
17 8 1 1 6 7:19 -12 4
L L L L L
18 8 1 0 7 2:22 -20 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig