ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Craven Cottage
Referee: M. Oliver
Fulham
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
R. Sessegnon
Fulham
🟨
46'
Timothy Castagne
Fulham
🟨
49'
Pau Torres
Aston Villa
🔄
66'
R. Jimenez ↔ Rodrigo Muniz
Fulham
🔄
74'
J. McGinn ↔ R. Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
74'
E. Buendia ↔ L. Bailey
Aston Villa
🔄
74'
L. Bogarde ↔ Douglas Luiz
Aston Villa
🔄
74'
Y. Tielemans ↔ J. Sancho
Aston Villa
🔄
76'
S. Chukwueze ↔ O. Bobb
Fulham
🔄
76'
E. Smith Rowe ↔ J. King
Fulham
🔄
80'
O. Watkins ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
81'
R. Sessegnon ↔ A. Robinson
Fulham
🟨
90+1'
Harry Wilson
Fulham
🟨
90+4'
Douglas Luiz
Aston Villa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Fulham Win 24.2%
Draw 13.5%
Aston Villa Win 62.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fulham1.24
Aston Villa1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fulham Fulham
WWDLW
48 GF / 49 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
74 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
21
BTTS Yes
25
20
Over 2.5
24
3.97
Shots on Goal
4.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fulham Fulham 36 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 47 matches
Fulham Statistic Aston Villa
15 Wins 29
6 Draws 7
15 Losses 11
48 Goals For 74
49 Goals Against 52
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
21 BTTS Yes 25
26 Over 1.5 35
20 Over 2.5 24
10 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 16
10 Failed To Score 9
3.97 Shots On Goal 4.66
13.11 Total Shots 12.53
5.19 Corners 5.13
52.8% Ball Possession 53.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Aston Villa's more proactive style and Fulham's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Aston Villa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 58 points while Fulham sit 12 on 45, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aston Villa. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Fulham Analysis

Fulham are currently 12 in the standings with 45 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, while the 43:46 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Harry Wilson (10 goals), Raúl Jiménez (9 goals), A. Iwobi (4 goals), with creative support from Harry Wilson (6 assists), Samuel Chukwueze (4 assists), Raúl Jiménez (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Kevin, K. Tete, A. Iwobi, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

Aston Villa Analysis

Aston Villa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 58 points after 33 matches. The record of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 43:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ollie Watkins (11 goals), Morgan Rogers (9 goals), Emiliano Buendía (5 goals), with creative support from Morgan Rogers (5 assists), Lucas Digne (5 assists), Y. Tielemans (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Alysson, B. Kamara, T. Abraham unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fulham won 5 times, Aston Villa won 10 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Fulham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Fulham 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fulham 3, Aston Villa 3
H2H summary: Fulham wins 5, draws 0, Aston Villa wins 10
Stats
Fulham Fulham
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 12
7 Offsides 0
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
337 Total passes 529
276 Passes accurate 456
1.18 expected_goals 0.93
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fulham
Formation
Aston Villa
B. Leno
B. Leno
T. Castagne
T. Castagne
J. Andersen
J. Andersen
C. Bassey
C. Bassey
R. Sessegnon
R. Sessegnon
S. Lukic
S. Lukic
S. Berge
S. Berge
H. Wilson
H. Wilson
E. Smith Rowe
E. Smith Rowe
S. Chukwueze
S. Chukwueze
R. Jimenez
R. Jimenez
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
M. Cash
M. Cash
E. Konsa
E. Konsa
P. Torres
P. Torres
L. Digne
L. Digne
L. Bogarde
L. Bogarde
Y. Tielemans
Y. Tielemans
J. McGinn
J. McGinn
M. Rogers
M. Rogers
E. Buendia
E. Buendia
O. Watkins
O. Watkins
Fulham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Leno
G
21
T. Castagne
🟨 46'
D
5
J. Andersen
D
3
C. Bassey
D
30
R. Sessegnon
⚽ 43' ↓ 81'
D
20
S. Lukic
M
16
S. Berge
M
8
H. Wilson
🟨 90+1'
M
32
E. Smith Rowe
↓ 76'
M
19
S. Chukwueze
↓ 76'
M
7
R. Jimenez
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
23
B. Lecomte
G
10
T. Cairney
M
31
I. Diop
D
33
A. Robinson
↑ 81'
D
14
O. Bobb
↑ 76'
M
24
J. King
↑ 76'
M
18
J. Kusi Asare
F
6
H. Reed
M
9
Rodrigo Muniz
↑ 66'
F
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
2
M. Cash
D
4
E. Konsa
D
14
P. Torres
🟨 49'
D
12
L. Digne
D
26
L. Bogarde
↓ 74'
M
8
Y. Tielemans
↓ 74'
M
7
J. McGinn
↓ 74'
M
27
M. Rogers
M
10
E. Buendia
↓ 74'
M
11
O. Watkins
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
6
R. Barkley
↑ 74'
M
3
V. Lindelof
D
5
T. Mings
D
31
L. Bailey
↑ 74'
F
21
Douglas Luiz
↑ 74' 🟨 90+4'
M
22
I. Maatsen
D
18
T. Abraham
↑ 80'
F
19
J. Sancho
↑ 74'
F
Last matches: Fulham
24.05.26
Pre
Fulham
Newcastle
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Fulham
Wolves
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Fulham
Bournemouth
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Fulham
Arsenal
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Fulham
Brentford
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Fulham
Liverpool
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Fulham
Burnley
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Fulham
Southampton
0
1
L
04.03.26
Pre
Fulham
West Ham
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Fulham
Tottenham
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Fulham
Sunderland
3
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Fulham
Stoke City
2
1
W
11.02.26
Pre
Fulham
Manchester City
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pre
Fulham
Everton
1
2
L
01.02.26
Pre
Fulham
Manchester United
2
3
L
24.01.26
Pre
Fulham
Brighton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Fulham
Leeds
0
1
L
10.01.26
FA
Fulham
Middlesbrough
3
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Fulham
Chelsea
2
1
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
H2H: Fulham vs Aston Villa
25.04.26
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
0
W
28.09.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Fulham
3
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Fulham
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
3
L
17.02.24
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
2
L
12.11.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Fulham
3
1
L
26.07.23
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
0
2
L
25.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Fulham
1
0
L
20.10.22
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
3
0
W
04.04.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Fulham
3
1
L
28.09.20
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
0
3
L
04.01.20
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
2
1
W
26.05.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
W
17.02.18
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
2
0
W
21.10.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Fulham
2
1
L
Last matches: Fulham
24.05.26
Pre
Fulham
Newcastle
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Fulham
Bournemouth
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Fulham
Burnley
3
1
W
08.03.26
FA
Fulham
Southampton
0
1
L
04.03.26
Pre
Fulham
West Ham
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Fulham
Tottenham
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Fulham
Everton
1
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Fulham
Brighton
2
1
W
10.01.26
FA
Fulham
Middlesbrough
3
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Fulham
Chelsea
2
1
W
04.01.26
Pre
Fulham
Liverpool
2
2
D
22.12.25
Pre
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
07.12.25
Pre
Fulham
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
02.12.25
Pre
Fulham
Manchester City
4
5
L
22.11.25
Pre
Fulham
Sunderland
1
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Fulham
Wolves
3
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Fulham
Arsenal
0
1
L
20.09.25
Pre
Fulham
Brentford
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Fulham
Leeds
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pre
Fulham
Manchester United
1
1
D
H2H at home: Fulham
25.04.26
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
3
L
17.02.24
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
2
L
26.07.23
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
0
2
L
20.10.22
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
3
0
W
28.09.20
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
0
3
L
04.01.20
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
2
1
W
17.02.18
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
2
0
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
4
L
27.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
3
2
W
11.12.25
UEF
Aston Villa
FC Basel 1893
2
1
W
03.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
4
3
W
23.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
1
W
H2H away: Aston Villa
25.04.26
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
3
W
17.02.24
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
2
W
26.07.23
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
0
2
W
20.10.22
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
3
0
L
28.09.20
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
0
3
W
04.01.20
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
2
1
L
17.02.18
H2H
Fulham
Aston Villa
2
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L

Missing Players

Fulham 3 missing
-
Kevin
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
K. Tete
Questionable Foot Injury
OUT
-
A. Iwobi
Questionable Injury
OUT
Aston Villa 3 missing
-
Alysson
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
B. Kamara
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
T. Abraham
Questionable Shoulder Injury
OUT