Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
62.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.8%
|
- |
Fulham
Aston Villa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fulham
36 matches
Aston Villa
47 matches
| Fulham | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 29 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 15 | Losses | 11 |
| 48 | Goals For | 74 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.97 | Shots On Goal | 4.66 |
| 13.11 | Total Shots | 12.53 |
| 5.19 | Corners | 5.13 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Aston Villa's more proactive style and Fulham's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Aston Villa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 58 points while Fulham sit 12 on 45, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aston Villa. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Fulham are currently 12 in the standings with 45 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, while the 43:46 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Harry Wilson (10 goals), Raúl Jiménez (9 goals), A. Iwobi (4 goals), with creative support from Harry Wilson (6 assists), Samuel Chukwueze (4 assists), Raúl Jiménez (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Kevin, K. Tete, A. Iwobi, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Aston Villa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 58 points after 33 matches. The record of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 43:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ollie Watkins (11 goals), Morgan Rogers (9 goals), Emiliano Buendía (5 goals), with creative support from Morgan Rogers (5 assists), Lucas Digne (5 assists), Y. Tielemans (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Alysson, B. Kamara, T. Abraham unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fulham won 5 times, Aston Villa won 10 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Fulham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Fulham
6
1
2
8
5
1
Lineups
Fulham
Newcastle
Fulham
Wolves
Fulham
Bournemouth
Fulham
Arsenal
Fulham
Brentford
Fulham
Liverpool
Fulham
Burnley
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Southampton
Fulham
West Ham
Fulham
Tottenham
Fulham
Sunderland
Fulham
Stoke City
Fulham
Manchester City
Fulham
Everton
Fulham
Manchester United
Fulham
Brighton
Fulham
Leeds
Fulham
Middlesbrough
Fulham
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Burnley
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Elche
Aston Villa
West Ham
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Wolves
Aston Villa
Leeds
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Fulham
Newcastle
Fulham
Bournemouth
Fulham
Burnley
Fulham
Southampton
Fulham
West Ham
Fulham
Tottenham
Fulham
Everton
Fulham
Brighton
Fulham
Middlesbrough
Fulham
Chelsea
Fulham
Liverpool
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Manchester City
Fulham
Sunderland
Fulham
Wolves
Fulham
Arsenal
Fulham
Brentford
Fulham
Leeds
Fulham
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Burnley
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Wolves
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa
West Ham
Aston Villa
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
Brighton
Aston Villa
Leeds
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Away
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Fulham
Home
|
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|