GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
12.12.2026 14:30
Mewa Arena

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
FSV Mainz 05 Win 0%
Draw 0%
SC Freiburg Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FSV Mainz 052.81
SC Freiburg1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WWDLW
43 GF / 5 GA
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WLDWL
20 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
4.3
Average Goals Scored
2.86
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
3
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
5
6
Shots on Goal
7.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 10 matches
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 matches
FSV Mainz 05 Statistic SC Freiburg
8 Wins 7
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
43 Goals For 20
5 Goals Against 4
4.3 Avg Goals Scored 2.86
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
3 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 7.75
19 Total Shots 22.5
8 Corners 6.25
48.5% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 times, SC Freiburg won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from FSV Mainz 05's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2 / SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FSV Mainz 05 wins 3, draws 6, SC Freiburg wins 6

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 7:5 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 5:0 5 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 5:1 4 4
D W
7 2 1 0 1 6:3 3 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 4:3 1 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 5:6 -1 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 4:5 -1 3
W L
11 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
L W
12 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
L D
13 2 0 1 1 4:7 -3 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 3:7 -4 1
L D
16 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
17 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation