Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
FS Jelgava Win 0%
Draw 0%
Riga Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FS Jelgava1
Riga2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
FS Jelgava
WWDLW
30 GF / 52 GA
Riga
WLDWL
103 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
2.71
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
13
BTTS Yes
24
12
Over 2.5
30
0
Shots on Goal
2.71
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
31 matches
Riga
38 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 28 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 17 | Losses | 4 |
| 30 | Goals For | 103 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.71 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 2.71 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 25.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 1 times, Riga won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:48 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: FS Jelgava 5-4-1 / Riga 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 1, draws 2, Riga wins 12
Last matches: FS Jelgava
09.08.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
1
L
01.08.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
26.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
0
2
L
20.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
Last matches: Riga
13.08.26
UEF
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
1
1
D
09.08.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
06.08.26
UEF
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
1
0
W
02.08.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
4
0
W
28.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
5
2
W
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
H2H: FS Jelgava vs Riga
03.07.26
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
16.05.26
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
04.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
3
L
01.07.25
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
15.03.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
2
L
19.07.24
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
6
1
L
19.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
5
L
08.04.24
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
01.09.23
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
5
W
25.06.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
L
04.05.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
L
12.03.23
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
1
L
Last matches: FS Jelgava
09.08.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
1
L
26.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
0
2
L
20.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
H2H at home: FS Jelgava
04.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
3
L
15.03.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
2
L
19.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
5
L
25.06.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
L
04.05.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
L
Last matches: Riga
13.08.26
UEF
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
1
1
D
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Riga
Dubai United
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
H2H away: Riga
04.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
W
21.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
3
W
15.03.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
2
W
19.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
5
W
25.06.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
W
04.05.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
W
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 45 | 65 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Away
|
25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 8 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | -29 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | -41 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|