Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
FS Jelgava Win 0%
Draw 0%
Riga Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FS Jelgava1.07
Riga2.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
FS Jelgava
WWDLW
29 GF / 46 GA
Riga
WLDWL
82 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
2.65
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
12
BTTS Yes
19
11
Over 2.5
25
0
Shots on Goal
3.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
27 matches
Riga
31 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 22 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 13 | Losses | 4 |
| 29 | Goals For | 82 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.65 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 1 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 26.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 1 times, Riga won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:48 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: FS Jelgava 5-4-1 / Riga 3-5-2
H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 1, draws 2, Riga wins 12
Last matches: FS Jelgava
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
Last matches: Riga
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
H2H: FS Jelgava vs Riga
03.07.26
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
16.05.26
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
04.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
3
L
01.07.25
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
15.03.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
2
L
19.07.24
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
6
1
L
19.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
5
L
08.04.24
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
01.09.23
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
5
W
25.06.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
L
04.05.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
L
12.03.23
H2H
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
1
L
Last matches: FS Jelgava
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
H2H at home: FS Jelgava
04.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
3
L
15.03.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
2
L
19.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
5
L
25.06.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
L
04.05.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
L
Last matches: Riga
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Riga
Dubai United
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
3
3
D
H2H away: Riga
04.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
W
21.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
3
W
15.03.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
2
W
19.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
5
W
25.06.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
W
04.05.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Riga
1
3
W
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Away
|
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga