NORWAY ELITESERIEN
16.08.2026 17:15
Fredrikstad Stadion
Referee: M. Stofringshaug
Fredrikstad
Match Timeline
Kristiansund BK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
O. Ohlenschlaeger · Assist: S. Rafn
Fredrikstad
🟨
38'
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Kristiansund BK
🟨
44'
Samuel Leach Holm
Fredrikstad
🔄
46'
S. Leach ↔ B. Faraas
Fredrikstad
🟨
54'
Wilfred George Igor
Kristiansund BK
🔄
56'
O. Ohlenschlaeger ↔ J. Jezierski
Fredrikstad
🔄
56'
G. Wesseh ↔ S. Laghzaoui
Fredrikstad
🔄
63'
S. Kilen ↔ Z. Bytyqi
Kristiansund BK
🔄
69'
H. Haugen ↔ F. Flex
Kristiansund BK
🔄
69'
A. Ronning ↔ S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
76'
I. Amundsen ↔ S. Owusu
Fredrikstad
🔄
87'
W. Igor ↔ M. Williamsen
Kristiansund BK
🟨
90+2'
Leander Alvheim
Kristiansund BK

Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.6%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fredrikstad Win 51.6%
Draw 17.3%
Kristiansund BK Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad1.35
Kristiansund BK1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WWDLW
35 GF / 39 GA
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WLDWL
25 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
16
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
13
3.63
Shots on Goal
3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 26 matches
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 26 matches
Fredrikstad Statistic Kristiansund BK
11 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
9 Losses 12
35 Goals For 25
39 Goals Against 35
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
16 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 11
3.63 Shots On Goal 3.44
11.31 Total Shots 11.88
4.25 Corners 3.94
47.6% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Kristiansund BK in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kristiansund BK having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kristiansund BK. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Fredrikstad Analysis

With 20 points from 16 games and a place of 10, Fredrikstad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 17:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Daniel Eid (2 goals), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (2 goals), Fredrik Holmé (2 goals), with creative support from Daniel Eid (1 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), Fredrik Holmé (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK sit 15 with 12 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 13:25, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Leander Alvheim (5 goals), Sander Hestetun Kilen (1 goals), Wilfred George Igor (1 goals), with creative support from Sander Hestetun Kilen (2 assists), Alexander Munksgaard (2 assists), Mustapha Isah (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 5 times, Kristiansund BK won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Fredrikstad 3-4-3 / Kristiansund BK 4-3-3
H2H summary: Fredrikstad wins 5, draws 2, Kristiansund BK wins 3

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen