WORLD WORLD CUP
30.06.2026 21:00
MetLife Stadium
Referee: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
France
Match Timeline
Sweden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
K. Mbappe · Assist: O. Dembele
France
53'
B. Barcola · Assist: M. Olise
France
🔄
66'
E. Stroud ↔ T. Ali
Sweden
🔄
66'
L. Bergvall ↔ B. Zeneli
Sweden
74'
K. Mbappe · Assist: M. Olise
France
🔄
75'
J. Kounde ↔ M. Gusto
France
🔄
75'
O. Dembele ↔ D. Doue
France
🔄
78'
L. Digne ↔ T. Hernandez
France
🔄
82'
D. Svensson ↔ M. Svanberg
Sweden
🔄
82'
Y. Ayari ↔ B. Nygren
Sweden
🔄
85'
K. Mbappe ↔ J. Mateta
France
🔄
85'
M. Olise ↔ R. Cherki
France
🔄
89'
A. Isak ↔ G. Nilsson
Sweden

France vs Sweden Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.1%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
France Win 75.1%
Draw 4.8%
Sweden Win 20.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
France2.59
Sweden1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
France France
WWDLW
19 GF / 7 GA
Sweden Sweden
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
6
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
4
5.86
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

France France 7 matches
Sweden Sweden 5 matches
France Statistic Sweden
6 Wins 1
0 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
19 Goals For 10
7 Goals Against 12
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
6 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
5.86 Shots On Goal 6
15.86 Total Shots 12.4
5 Corners 3.8
58.3% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, France won 4 times, Sweden won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from France's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: France 4-2-3-1 / Sweden 4-4-2
H2H summary: France wins 4, draws 0, Sweden wins 2

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
L L W W W
2 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
L W W L W
3 3 1 0 2 8:6 2 3
L W L L
4 3 0 0 3 1:12 -11 0
L L L
Round of 32