France
Match Timeline
Sweden
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
0 agree /
1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
1 agree /
0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1 agree /
0 disagree
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
France Win 75.1%
Draw 4.8%
Sweden Win 20.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
France2.59
Sweden1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
France
WWDLW
19 GF / 7 GA
Sweden
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
6
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
4
5.86
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
France
7 matches
Sweden
5 matches
| France | Statistic | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 19 | Goals For | 10 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 2.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.4 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5.86 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 15.86 | Total Shots | 12.4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 58.3% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, France won 4 times, Sweden won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from France's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: France 4-2-3-1 / Sweden 4-4-2
H2H summary: France wins 4, draws 0, Sweden wins 2
Stats
France
Sweden
Shots on Goal
12
12
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
France
Formation
Sweden
M. Maignan
J. Kounde
D. Upamecano
W. Saliba
L. Digne
A. Tchouameni
A. Rabiot
O. Dembele
M. Olise
B. Barcola
K. Mbappe
J. Widell Zetterstrom
D. Svensson
G. Lagerbielke
V. Lindelof
G. Gudmundsson
A. Elanga
L. Bergvall
Y. Ayari
E. Stroud
V. Gyökeres
A. Isak
France
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
5
J. Kounde
D
↓ 75'
4
D. Upamecano
D
17
W. Saliba
D
3
L. Digne
D
↓ 78'
8
A. Tchouameni
M
14
A. Rabiot
M
7
O. Dembele
M
🎯 45'
↓ 75'
11
M. Olise
M
🎯 53'
🎯 74'
↓ 85'
12
B. Barcola
M
⚽ 53'
10
K. Mbappe
F
⚽ 45'
⚽ 74'
↓ 85'
Substitutes
1
B. Samba
G
23
R. Risser
G
15
I. Konate
D
26
M. Lacroix
D
2
M. Gusto
D
↑ 75'
25
M. Akliouche
M
18
W. Zaire-Emery
M
13
N. Kante
M
21
L. Hernandez
D
9
M. Thuram
F
19
T. Hernandez
D
↑ 78'
22
J. Mateta
F
↑ 85'
24
R. Cherki
M
↑ 85'
6
M. Kone
M
20
D. Doue
F
↑ 75'
Sweden
4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
8
D. Svensson
D
↓ 82'
2
G. Lagerbielke
D
3
V. Lindelof
D
5
G. Gudmundsson
D
11
A. Elanga
M
7
L. Bergvall
M
↓ 66'
18
Y. Ayari
M
↓ 82'
24
E. Stroud
M
↓ 66'
17
V. Gyökeres
F
9
A. Isak
F
↓ 89'
Substitutes
23
K. Nordfeldt
G
12
V. Johansson
G
15
C. Starfelt
D
25
G. Nilsson
F
↑ 89'
19
M. Svanberg
M
↑ 82'
10
B. Nygren
F
↑ 82'
6
H. Johansson
M
21
A. Bernhardsson
F
26
T. Ali
M
↑ 66'
13
K. Sema
M
16
J. Karlstrom
M
20
E. Smith
D
14
H. Ekdal
D
22
B. Zeneli
M
↑ 66'
Last matches: France
18.07.26
Wor
France
England
4
6
L
14.07.26
Wor
France
Spain
0
2
L
09.07.26
Wor
France
Morocco
2
0
W
04.07.26
Wor
France
Paraguay
1
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
France
Norway
4
1
W
22.06.26
Wor
France
Iraq
3
0
W
16.06.26
Wor
France
Senegal
3
1
W
08.06.26
Fri
France
Northern Ireland
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
France
Ivory Coast
1
2
L
29.03.26
Fri
France
Colombia
3
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
France
Brazil
2
1
W
16.11.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
13.11.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
4
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
2
D
10.10.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
1
W
05.09.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
2
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
France
Germany
2
0
W
05.06.25
UEF
France
Spain
4
5
L
23.03.25
UEF
France
Croatia
2
0
W
Last matches: Sweden
25.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Japan
1
1
D
20.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Netherlands
1
5
L
15.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Tunisia
5
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Greece
2
2
D
01.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Norway
1
3
L
31.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Poland
3
2
W
26.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Ukraine
3
1
W
18.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
1
1
D
15.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
1
4
L
13.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
1
L
10.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
0
2
L
08.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
2
2
D
19.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
6
0
W
16.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
1
W
14.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
11.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
2
D
08.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
05.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
H2H: France vs Sweden
30.06.26
H2H
France
Sweden
3
0
W
17.11.20
H2H
France
Sweden
4
2
W
05.09.20
H2H
Sweden
France
0
1
W
09.06.17
H2H
Sweden
France
2
1
L
11.11.16
H2H
France
Sweden
2
1
W
19.06.12
H2H
Sweden
France
2
0
L
Last matches: France
18.07.26
Wor
France
England
4
6
L
14.07.26
Wor
France
Spain
0
2
L
09.07.26
Wor
France
Morocco
2
0
W
22.06.26
Wor
France
Iraq
3
0
W
16.06.26
Wor
France
Senegal
3
1
W
08.06.26
Fri
France
Northern Ireland
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
France
Ivory Coast
1
2
L
13.11.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
4
0
W
10.10.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
1
W
23.03.25
UEF
France
Croatia
2
0
W
14.11.24
UEF
France
Israel
0
0
D
09.09.24
UEF
France
Belgium
2
0
W
06.09.24
UEF
France
Italy
1
3
L
H2H at home: France
30.06.26
H2H
France
Sweden
3
0
W
17.11.20
H2H
France
Sweden
4
2
W
11.11.16
H2H
France
Sweden
2
1
W
Last matches: Sweden
25.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Japan
1
1
D
20.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Netherlands
1
5
L
01.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Norway
1
3
L
26.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Ukraine
3
1
W
15.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
1
4
L
08.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
2
2
D
14.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
11.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
2
D
05.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
H2H away: Sweden
30.06.26
H2H
France
Sweden
3
0
L
17.11.20
H2H
France
Sweden
4
2
L
11.11.16
H2H
France
Sweden
2
1
L