ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
30.08.2026 17:00
Referee: G. F. Robertsson
Fram Reykjavik
Match Timeline
KA Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
G. Hrafnkelsson · Assist: H. Steingrimsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
18'
J. Arnason ↔ J. Pedersen
KA Akureyri
🔄
20'
K. Gautason ↔ S. Kristinsson
KA Akureyri
33'
K. McLagan · Assist: K. Chopart
Fram Reykjavik
50'
A. Palsson · Assist: J. Pedersen
KA Akureyri
🔄
62'
T. Thorbjornsson ↔ I. Garcia
Fram Reykjavik
🔄
62'
K. McLagan ↔ S. Tibbling
Fram Reykjavik
🔄
65'
V. Saevarsson ↔ D. Djuric
KA Akureyri
🟨
70'
S. Kristinsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
78'
R. Hauksson ↔ J. Bystrom
Fram Reykjavik
80'
K. Konradsson · Assist: J. Bystrom
Fram Reykjavik
🔄
81'
A. Palsson ↔ D. Montiel
KA Akureyri
🟨
83'
M. Thordarson
KA Akureyri

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.51
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.23
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.6%
1.51
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.23
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.77
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Fram Reykjavik Win 76.6%
Draw 5.7%
KA Akureyri Win 17.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fram Reykjavik2.44
KA Akureyri1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik
WWDLW
52 GF / 38 GA
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
WLDWL
33 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
2.19
15
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 20 matches
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 21 matches
Fram Reykjavik Statistic KA Akureyri
13 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 12
52 Goals For 33
38 Goals Against 46
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 2.19
15 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 17
15 Over 2.5 14
14 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fram Reykjavik's more proactive style and KA Akureyri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KA Akureyri. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fram Reykjavik expected to line up in 5-3-2 and KA Akureyri in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KA Akureyri having the stronger overall control. Fram Reykjavik arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 40 points compared to KA Akureyri in 11 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Fram Reykjavik Analysis

Fram Reykjavik approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 40 points after 19 outings. With 12 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

KA Akureyri Analysis

KA Akureyri sit 11 with 16 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, while the 28:40 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fram Reykjavik won 5 times, KA Akureyri won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:36 from Fram Reykjavik's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 4.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Fram Reykjavik 5-3-2 / KA Akureyri 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Fram Reykjavik wins 5, draws 2, KA Akureyri wins 8

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
L D D W W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
W L L L D
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
L W D D W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L L W W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
W D W W L
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W W D L D
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W L W D L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
L D L L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs